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SpaceX Stock Drops: Time to Buy the Dip?

Jul 17, 2026
Bobby Quant Team

💡 Key Takeaway

SpaceX stock is down but long-term earnings growth of 152% annually could make it a bargain at current prices.

What Happened to SpaceX Stock?

SpaceX stock fell below its IPO price on Friday, briefly dipping under $125 before recovering to a 4% loss. The stock had surged 67% in its first three days of trading but has since lost momentum.

Several factors contributed to the decline. China successfully completed its first reusable rocket water landing, signaling new competition. SpaceX also postponed a Starship test flight after multiple engines failed to ignite at launch.

Additionally, SpaceX's pivot to AI branding (now @SpaceXAI) backfired as investors sold off AI stocks broadly. The company is caught in a sector-wide rotation away from high-growth tech.

Despite the drop, the article argues the selloff may be overdone, with the stock approaching fair value based on future earnings potential.

Why It Matters for Investors

SpaceX's stock price matters because it reflects market sentiment about the company's long-term prospects. The drop below IPO price suggests investors are worried about near-term headwinds like competition and AI sector weakness.

However, the article highlights that at $125, SpaceX trades at 192 times forecast 2027 earnings. With earnings expected to grow 152% annually, the P/E ratio could drop to 22.5 by 2029, making the stock potentially cheap.

This creates a classic tension: short-term pain vs. long-term gain. Investors must decide whether the current dip is a buying opportunity or a sign of deeper problems.

The key risk is that growth projections may be too optimistic, especially if competition intensifies or AI demand falters. But if SpaceX delivers, today's price could look like a steal.

Source: The Motley Fool
Analysis generated by Bobby AI quantitative model, reviewed and edited by our research team. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

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Bobby Insight

bobby-insight

SpaceX stock is a buy at current levels for long-term investors.

The 152% annual earnings growth justifies the high P/E, and the stock is approaching fair value. Near-term headwinds are temporary, and the company's leadership in space and AI positions it for massive growth.

What This Means for Me

means-for-me
If you hold SPCX, the recent drop may be unsettling, but the long-term thesis remains intact. Consider adding to your position if you have a high risk tolerance. Investors without exposure could use this dip as an entry point, but be prepared for volatility.

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What This Means for Me

If you hold SPCX, the recent drop may be unsettling, but the long-term thesis remains intact. Consider adding to your position if you have a high risk tolerance. Investors without exposure could use this dip as an entry point, but be prepared for volatility.
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