Nvidia
NVDA
$202.81
-2.21%
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units (GPUs) and a dominant force in the semiconductor industry, with its products originally designed for gaming but now critical for artificial intelligence (AI) workloads, including training and running large language models. The company has established itself as the undisputed market leader in AI computing, leveraging its proprietary CUDA software platform and expanding into data center networking solutions to create an integrated ecosystem. Currently, the investor narrative centers on Nvidia's explosive revenue growth driven by AI infrastructure spending, with recent quarterly revenue surging 85% year-over-year, though concerns about capital spending rotation and competitive pressures from memory and networking players are emerging as key debates.…
NVDA
Nvidia
$202.81
Related headlines
NVDA 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Nvidia's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $301.97 and implied upside of +48.9% versus the current price.
Average Target
$301.97
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+48.9%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$180 - $500
Analyst target range
Nvidia is covered by 58 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Strong Buy' (mean rating 1.30 on a 1-5 scale where 1 is Strong Buy). The average target price is $301.97, implying approximately 42% upside from the current price of $212.50. The distribution leans heavily bullish, with no sell ratings in the recent institutional actions, which include reaffirmations from Keybanc, Needham, DA Davidson, and others. The target price range spans from a low of $180.00 to a high of $500.00, indicating significant divergence in analyst expectations. The high target of $500 assumes continued market share gains, successful expansion into new AI applications, and potential multiple expansion, while the low target of $180 implies risks such as competitive pressure from AMD and custom chips, a slowdown in AI spending, or margin compression. Recent analyst actions have been uniformly positive, with firms like Tigress Financial reiterating Strong Buy and UBS maintaining Buy, suggesting strong conviction in the near-term outlook. The wide spread between low and high targets (320 points) reflects high uncertainty about the pace of AI adoption and competitive dynamics, but the consensus remains firmly bullish.
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NVDA Technical Analysis
Nvidia's stock is in a sustained long-term uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +24.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +20.9% over the same period. The current price of $212.50 sits at 48% of its 52-week range ($164.07 low to $236.54 high), indicating it is closer to the midpoint than the extremes, suggesting neither overextension nor a deep value opportunity. This positioning implies the stock has room to run if momentum resumes, but it has not yet reclaimed its highs, reflecting a consolidation phase after a strong rally. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month price change is +2.4%, while the 3-month change is +7.1%, both positive but decelerating from the 6-month change of +14.1%. The 1-month relative strength versus the S&P 500 is -0.58, indicating slight underperformance recently, which could signal a temporary pullback or rotation within the tech sector. The divergence between the strong 1-year trend and the recent short-term weakness suggests a period of mean reversion or consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Key technical support lies near the 52-week low of $164.07, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $236.54. A breakout above $236.54 would signal a resumption of the uptrend and likely attract momentum buyers, while a breakdown below $164.07 could indicate a deeper correction. With a beta of 2.21, Nvidia is 121% more volatile than the S&P 500, meaning it amplifies market moves and requires careful position sizing for risk management.
Beta
2.21
2.21x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-20.2%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$164-$237
Price range past year
Annual Return
+17.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | NVDA Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -0.9% | +0.3% |
| 3m | +0.6% | +4.7% |
| 6m | +8.9% | +7.5% |
| 1y | +17.2% | +18.4% |
| ytd | +7.4% | +9.0% |
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NVDA Fundamental Analysis
Nvidia's revenue trajectory is accelerating dramatically, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $81.6 billion in Q1 2026 (ending April 26, 2026) representing an 85.2% year-over-year growth rate, up from 56.6% in the prior quarter and 43.5% a year ago. The Data Center segment, which generated $75.2 billion in the quarter, is the primary growth engine, while Edge Computing contributed $6.4 billion. This accelerating growth underscores the insatiable demand for AI computing power, but investors should monitor whether growth can sustain at these levels as competition intensifies. Profitability is exceptional, with net income of $58.3 billion in the latest quarter and a gross margin of 74.9%, which has expanded from 60.5% two years ago, reflecting operating leverage and pricing power. Net margin reached 71.5%, up from 42.6% in the year-ago quarter, driven by high-margin Data Center sales and cost controls. The company is highly profitable and generating substantial free cash flow of $48.6 billion in Q1 2026, with a free cash flow TTM of $119.1 billion. The balance sheet is fortress-like: debt-to-equity is just 0.073, and the current ratio is 3.91, indicating ample liquidity. ROE is an extraordinary 76.3%, reflecting both high profitability and efficient capital use, while the company generates enough cash to fund massive capital expenditures ($1.8 billion in Q1) and share buybacks ($21.4 billion in Q1) without relying on external financing.
Quarterly Revenue
$81.6B
2026-04
Revenue YoY Growth
+85.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
74.9%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$119.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is NVDA Overvalued?
Since Nvidia has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 37.8x, while the forward P/E is 16.6x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth over the next year. The wide gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests that analysts anticipate a sharp increase in earnings, which is consistent with the company's recent growth trajectory. Compared to the semiconductor industry average (not provided, but typically around 20-25x forward P/E), Nvidia's forward P/E of 16.6x appears reasonable, though the trailing multiple is elevated. The PEG ratio of 0.57 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, as a PEG below 1.0 typically indicates undervaluation. Historically, Nvidia's trailing P/E has ranged from 22.6x (Q1 2026) to 177.3x (Q2 2022), and the current 37.8x is near the lower end of its recent range, suggesting the market is pricing in more conservative expectations compared to the peak of the AI hype. The price-to-sales ratio of 21.0x is also elevated but has declined from over 90x two years ago, reflecting the rapid revenue growth that is catching up to the valuation.
PE
37.8x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 23x~87x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
31.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple
