Airbnb
ABNB
$146.33
-1.54%
Airbnb operates the world's largest online marketplace for alternative accommodations, offering over 9 million active listings for stays, experiences, and boutique hotels across nearly every country. As a disruptive platform company, it has redefined travel lodging by connecting millions of hosts with guests, leveraging a scalable asset-light model that generates transaction-fee revenue. The current investor narrative centers on post-pandemic travel demand normalization, margin expansion from cost discipline, and the potential for Airbnb to join the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as recent news suggests it could replace Nike. Debate persists around whether its growth trajectory can sustain premium valuations amid rising competition from traditional hotel chains like Marriott.…
ABNB
Airbnb
$146.33
Related headlines
ABNB 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Airbnb's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $190.23 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$190.23
11 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
11
covering this stock
Price Range
$117 - $190
Analyst target range
Airbnb is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: 5 Buy, 3 Hold, and 3 Sell-equivalent ratings (based on actions: Truist Hold, Wedbush Neutral, BMO Market Perform, Wells Fargo Equal Weight). The average target price is not explicitly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $10.42 and forward P/E of 24.5x, the implied target is approximately $255, representing about 72% upside from the current price of $148.62. This suggests strong bullish sentiment, though the wide range of estimates (EPS low $10.12 to high $10.79) indicates some uncertainty. The high target of $10.79 EPS implies a price of ~$264, assuming the same multiple, while the low target of $10.12 implies ~$248. The recent upgrade by Deutsche Bank from Hold to Buy and Truist's upgrade from Sell to Hold signal improving sentiment. However, the wide spread in analyst estimates and the presence of neutral ratings suggest that while the growth story is intact, valuation and competitive risks keep conviction from being unanimous. Insufficient analyst coverage is not an issue here; the 11 analysts provide adequate coverage for a large-cap stock.
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ABNB Technical Analysis
Airbnb is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock up 8.5% over the past year and currently trading at $148.62, near the top of its 52-week range of $110.81 to $150.19 (99% of the range). This positioning near highs suggests strong bullish momentum, though it also raises caution about potential overextension given the stock's beta of 1.143, indicating slightly higher volatility than the market. Short-term momentum is accelerating sharply, with a 1-month gain of 15.1% and a 3-month gain of 15.2%, outpacing the S&P 500's 4.1% and 11.1% returns over the same periods. This divergence from the longer-term 1-year trend (8.5%) signals a recent surge in buying interest, possibly driven by positive earnings sentiment or macroeconomic tailwinds, rather than a mere mean-reversion pullback. The 52-week high of $150.19 acts as immediate resistance; a breakout above this level would confirm the uptrend's strength and could trigger further upside. Support lies at the 52-week low of $110.81, though the stock has not tested that level since early 2026. With a beta of 1.143, Airbnb is about 14% more volatile than the S&P 500, meaning it amplifies market moves—a factor to consider for risk management.
Beta
1.14
1.14x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$111-$150
Price range past year
Annual Return
+8.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | ABNB Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +10.6% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +9.3% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +10.2% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +8.1% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +10.0% | +9.9% |
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ABNB Fundamental Analysis
Airbnb's revenue trajectory remains solidly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $2.778 billion, up 12.0% year-over-year from $2.48 billion in Q4 2024. However, the growth rate has decelerated from the 37.3% YoY surge in Q3 2025 ($4.095 billion vs. $3.732 billion), reflecting a normalization from pandemic-era pent-up demand. Full-year 2025 revenue likely exceeded $11 billion, driven by strength in North America (42% of revenue) and Europe (39%), though the Q4 slowdown suggests a maturing growth phase. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $341 million and a gross margin of 82.5%, which is typical for asset-light platforms. Net margin improved to 12.3% in Q4 from 6.8% in Q1 2025, though it remains below the 33.6% peak in Q3 2025, indicating seasonal variability. Operating margin of 9.7% in Q4 is lower than the 39.7% in Q3, reflecting higher SG&A and R&D costs in the holiday quarter. Airbnb boasts a fortress balance sheet with $13.5 billion in cash at end of Q4 2025, minimal debt (debt-to-equity of 0.25), and strong free cash flow generation of $4.63 billion TTM. The current ratio of 1.38 indicates ample liquidity, and ROE of 30.6% reflects efficient capital use, though the company does not pay dividends, instead using cash for share buybacks ($1.1 billion in Q4 2025).
Quarterly Revenue
$2.8B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+12.0%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
82.5%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$4.6B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is ABNB Overvalued?
Given Airbnb's positive net income, we lead with the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 33.1x, while the forward P/E is 24.5x, implying the market expects earnings growth of about 35% over the next year. This gap suggests optimistic growth expectations baked into the current price. Compared to the Travel Services industry average (not provided, but typically around 20-25x for profitable peers), Airbnb's trailing P/E of 33.1x appears at a premium, likely justified by its dominant market position, high margins, and strong cash flow. The P/S ratio of 6.8x is also elevated versus historical norms for travel agencies. Historically, Airbnb's trailing P/E has ranged from roughly 5x (Q3 2023) to over 120x (Q1 2025), with the current 33.1x near the lower end of its historical band over the past two years. This suggests the stock is not excessively overvalued relative to its own history, but the forward P/E of 24.5x implies a re-rating downward as earnings catch up to price.
PE
33.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -1435x~481x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
25.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple
