VF Corporation
VFC
$16.85
-0.88%
V.F. Corporation designs, produces, and distributes apparel, footwear, and accessories through a portfolio of roughly 10 active and outdoor brands — most notably The North Face, Vans, Timberland, and Altra — sold via wholesale, e-commerce, and branded stores across the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The company is a legacy global brand-house in the consumer cyclical apparel manufacturing space, distinct for its multi-brand platform model and heavy wholesale distribution footprint rather than a single flagship label. The current investor narrative is a turnaround-and-recovery debate: management has been cutting costs, paying down debt, and reshaping the portfolio, but the most recent quarter (filed July 29, 2026) delivered a wider-than-expected loss driven by continued Vans weakness, which overshadowed raised guidance and triggered a sharp sell-off. Sentiment now hinges on whether The North Face-led outdoor strength and margin repair can offset a still-struggling Vans franchise and a leveraged balance sheet, with the stock whipsawing on each earnings print.…
VFC
VF Corporation
$16.85
Related headlines
VFC 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on VF Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $18.92 and implied upside of +12.3% versus the current price.
Average Target
$18.92
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+12.3%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$13 - $40
Analyst target range
Coverage is broad, with 22 analysts and a consensus recommendation of "buy" (mean rating 2.46 on a scale where lower is more bullish), and an average target price of $18.92 — implying roughly +12.3% upside from the current $16.85. Sentiment is best described as cautiously constructive rather than conviction bullish: the consensus leans positive on valuation and turnaround potential, but the recent rating actions skew neutral-to-cautious, including Baird's downgrade to Neutral from Outperform on 2026-09-14 and a cluster of Hold/Neutral/Equal Weight stances from UBS, Truist, Stifel, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Evercore ISI after the July 29 earnings miss, balanced by Overweight ratings from Barclays and Buy ratings from Needham. The target range is extremely wide — $13.00 low to $40.00 high — a spread of more than 3x that signals very low conviction and high dispersion in assumptions. The $40 high target implicitly assumes a full turnaround: Vans stabilization, margin recovery toward historical levels, multiple expansion on normalized earnings, and deleveraging; the $13 low target prices in continued revenue erosion, margin compression, and balance-sheet stress, roughly 23% below the current price and near the 52-week low of $12.46. With consensus 2027 EPS of $1.76 (range $1.67-$1.81) and revenue of $10.82 billion (range $10.41B-$11.06B), the wide target dispersion reflects genuine uncertainty about execution rather than disagreement about the base business — a profile that argues for treating the average target as a directional signal rather than a precise price objective.
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VFC Technical Analysis
V.F. Corp is in a choppy, range-bound consolidation rather than a clean trend: the 1-year price change is +18.91%, but the stock sits at $16.85, only about 45% of the way through its 52-week range of $12.46 to $22.27 (roughly 44.9% of the range). That mid-range positioning signals neither momentum leadership nor a falling knife — it is a battleground stock where buyers and sellers have repeatedly swapped control. The 6-month change of -19.76% and YTD decline of -7.21% confirm the longer-term drift has been downward despite the positive 1-year headline, meaning the trailing-year gain was front-loaded and has since been given back. Recent momentum, however, has turned sharply positive: the 1-month change is +32.36% versus a 1.22% gain for SPY, a relative strength of +31.14 points, while the 3-month change is -0.77% (relative strength -3.46). This divergence — explosive 1-month recovery against a flat-to-negative 3-month and negative 6-month trend — looks like a violent mean-reversion rally off the September lows near $12.62 rather than a confirmed trend reversal, and it is corroborated by the stock's beta of 1.581, implying roughly 58% more volatility than the market. Key technical levels are clear: support sits at the 52-week low of $12.46 (with the recent September base around $12.62-$13.00 as the first line of defense), while resistance is the 52-week high of $22.27, with the $17.00-$18.25 area (the late-July breakdown zone) acting as an intermediate ceiling the stock is currently testing. A decisive breakout above $18.25 would suggest the market is re-rating the turnaround and open a path toward the $22.27 high, whereas a failure and breakdown below $14.00 would risk a retest of the $12.46 low; given the 1.58 beta and a max drawdown of -41.44%, position sizing should assume wide swings in both directions.
Beta
1.58
1.58x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-41.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$12-$22
Price range past year
Annual Return
+18.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | VFC Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +32.4% | +0.2% |
| 3m | -0.8% | +2.9% |
| 6m | -19.8% | +8.4% |
| 1y | +18.9% | +14.9% |
| ytd | -7.2% | +11.9% |
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VFC Fundamental Analysis
Revenue is contracting: the most recent quarter (ended 2026-06-27) posted $1.669 billion, down 5.18% year-over-year, and the trailing four quarters total roughly $9.51 billion ($1.669B + $2.166B + $2.876B + $2.802B), with the sequential pattern showing a weak Q1 and Q4 offset by a strong holiday Q3. Segment data shows Outdoor at $857.0 million versus Active at $667.3 million, meaning the outdoor brands (The North Face, Timberland) are now the larger revenue engine while the Active segment — anchored by Vans — is the drag, consistent with news flow citing Vans weakness. The growth trajectory is therefore mixed-to-negative at the top line, and the investment case depends on stabilizing Vans and sustaining outdoor momentum rather than on aggregate revenue acceleration. Profitability is thin and inconsistent: the latest quarter produced a net loss of -$97.2 million (EPS -$0.25) and negative EBITDA of -$18.7 million, with an operating margin of -4.98%, although the gross margin remains a respectable 54.93% and the trailing net margin is a slim 2.65% with operating margin of 6.32%. The prior Q3 (ended 2025-12-27) showed what normalized performance can look like — $300.8 million net income on a 10.46% net margin and 17.28% EBITDA margin — so the business is seasonally profitable but the latest quarter's SG&A of $1.00 billion against $1.669 billion of revenue overwhelmed gross profit of $917.0 million. Gross margin has been broadly stable in the 52%-56% band over recent quarters, so the problem is expense leverage and volume, not pricing power. The balance sheet is the key risk: debt-to-equity is 2.69x, total debt-to-capitalization was 72.9% in the March quarter, and interest expense of $30.4 million in the latest quarter consumed a meaningful share of operating results. Liquidity is adequate — current ratio of 1.84 and cash of $680.6 million at quarter-end — but free cash flow is lumpy and currently negative: -$115.8 million in the latest quarter and -$8.0 million in the prior quarter, against a trailing-twelve-month FCF figure of $580.6 million that is heavily dependent on the holiday quarter's $966.5 million inflow. ROE of 13.78% and ROA of 3.96% look acceptable only because of high leverage and a favorable seasonal base, and the 2.20% dividend yield with a 55.2% payout ratio is a further cash commitment; the company is not self-funding growth comfortably and remains reliant on debt management and working-capital discipline.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.7B
2026-06
Revenue YoY Growth
-5.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
54.9%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$580560000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is VFC Overvalued?
Because trailing net income is positive but razor-thin (EPS of $0.0398, net margin 2.65%), the trailing PE of 25.23x is distorted and not the most informative anchor; the forward PE of 12.45x is the more meaningful metric, and the gap between 25.2x trailing and 12.5x forward implies the market expects earnings to roughly double, consistent with consensus EPS of $1.76 versus the depressed trailing figure. On sales, the stock trades at just 0.67x PS and 1.15x EV/Sales, while EV/EBITDA is 13.40x — a multiple that looks rich only because EBITDA is cyclically depressed. Against the apparel/manufacturers peer set, VFC's 0.67x PS and 1.15x EV/Sales sit at a clear discount to the sector's typical mid-single-digit sales multiples, while its 3.46x price-to-book is roughly in line with its own history; the discount is arguably justified by negative revenue growth (-5.18% YoY), a leveraged balance sheet (D/E 2.69x), and inconsistent profitability, but it also embeds substantial skepticism about the turnaround. Historically, VFC's PS ratio has ranged from roughly 2.0x-2.6x in recent quarters (2.05x-4.08x over the past two years) down to the current 0.67x, placing the stock near the bottom of its own valuation band, while the forward PE of 12.45x compares favorably to historical PE readings that were frequently negative or in the high teens to 20s during profitable periods. The current valuation therefore prices in considerable pessimism — a value opportunity if margins normalize toward the Q3 run-rate, but a value trap if Vans weakness and leverage persist.
PE
25.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 5x~38x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple
