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BioMarin Pharmaceutical

BMRN

$59.75

-0.99%

BioMarin is a global biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for rare genetic diseases, specializing in enzyme replacement therapies, gene therapies, and advanced treatments for complex genetic disorders. As a leader in the rare disease space with eight approved therapies, the company distinguishes itself through a robust pipeline targeting skeletal conditions and enzyme therapies. The current investor narrative centers on the successful Phase 3 trial of VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasia, which validates its pipeline and opens a significant new market, driving attention to its long-term growth story. Additionally, the company faces competitive pressure from BridgeBio's strong achondroplasia trial data, creating debate around market share dynamics.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 8, 2026

BMRN

BioMarin Pharmaceutical

$59.75

-0.99%
Jul 8, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
BioMarin is a global biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for rare genetic diseases, specializing in enzyme replacement therapies, gene therapies, and advanced treatments for complex genetic disorders. As a leader in the rare disease space with eight approved therapies, the company distinguishes itself through a robust pipeline targeting skeletal conditions and enzyme therapies. The current investor narrative centers on the successful Phase 3 trial of VOXZOGO in hypochondroplasia, which validates its pipeline and opens a significant new market, driving attention to its long-term growth story. Additionally, the company faces competitive pressure from BridgeBio's strong achondroplasia trial data, creating debate around market share dynamics.

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BMRN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $59.75
Average Target $59.75
High Target $68.71
Low Target $50.79

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on BioMarin Pharmaceutical's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $77.67 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$77.67

9 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

9

covering this stock

Price Range

$48 - $78

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (22%)
Hold
4 (44%)
Sell
3 (33%)

BioMarin is covered by 9 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the majority rate it Buy or Overweight, with only one Neutral rating (HC Wainwright). The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $9.15 for the next fiscal year and a forward P/E of 9.14x, the implied target price is approximately $83.60 (9.14 * 9.15). This implies an upside of +41.7% from the current price of $58.99. The consensus recommendation is Overweight/Buy, reflecting positive sentiment around the pipeline and growth prospects. The high target of $10.37 EPS suggests a price of $94.80 (using the same forward P/E), while the low target of $8.78 EPS implies $80.30. The spread between high and low targets is about 18%, indicating moderate uncertainty. Recent institutional ratings show no downgrades; firms like B of A Securities, Barclays, and Guggenheim have reiterated Buy/Overweight ratings in early 2026, reinforcing positive sentiment. The wide target range reflects the binary nature of pipeline success, but the overall bullish consensus suggests analysts expect continued growth from VOXZOGO and other therapies.

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Drowning in data?

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BMRN Technical Analysis

BioMarin's stock is in a range-bound consolidation pattern over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +3.18%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +19.1% gain. The current price of $58.99 sits at 89% of its 52-week range ($49.26 to $66.28), indicating it is closer to the highs but not at extreme overextension. This positioning suggests a neutral-to-bullish stance, as the stock has recovered from its lows but lacks the momentum to break decisively higher. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with a 1-month price change of +10.63% and a 3-month change of +6.29%, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective -1.25% and +13.56% over the same periods. The 1-month relative strength of +11.88% versus the S&P 500 indicates strong recent outperformance, diverging from the 1-year relative weakness of -15.92%, which could signal a potential trend reversal or mean reversion. The stock's beta of 0.239 is extremely low, meaning it is significantly less volatile than the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also limits upside participation in broad market rallies. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $49.26, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $66.28. A breakout above $66.28 would signal a resumption of the long-term uptrend, while a breakdown below $49.26 could indicate further downside. The low beta suggests that the stock's movements are driven more by company-specific catalysts than market trends.

Beta

0.24

0.24x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-22.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$49-$66

Price range past year

Annual Return

+3.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBMRN ReturnS&P 500
1m+5.7%+0.8%
3m+6.1%+9.6%
6m+1.4%+7.4%
1y+3.0%+20.2%
ytd+0.5%+9.3%

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BMRN Fundamental Analysis

BioMarin's revenue trajectory shows solid growth, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $874.6 million in Q4 2025 representing a 17.03% year-over-year increase. However, the multi-quarter trend reveals deceleration: revenue grew from $648.8 million in Q1 2024 to $874.6 million in Q4 2025, but the YoY growth rate has slowed from 20.9% in Q2 2025 to 17.0% in Q4 2025. Product revenue of $859.3 million dominates, with royalty and other revenue contributing $15.2 million, indicating core product sales are the primary growth driver. The company swung to a net loss of -$46.6 million in Q4 2025 from a net income of $124.9 million in Q4 2024, driven by a sharp decline in gross margin from 81.8% to 66.3%. Operating margin also turned negative at -5.3% in Q4 2025, compared to +21.6% a year earlier, reflecting higher costs and expenses. The trailing twelve-month net margin stands at 10.8%, but the quarterly volatility suggests profitability is inconsistent. BioMarin maintains a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 5.21 and a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.106, indicating minimal leverage. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $724.96 million, providing ample liquidity for internal growth and pipeline investment. Return on equity is 5.73%, which is modest but positive, and the company has no dividend payout, reinvesting all earnings into the business.

Quarterly Revenue

$874565000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+17.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

66.26%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$724956000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Royalty And Other

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Valuation Analysis: Is BMRN Overvalued?

Since BioMarin's trailing twelve-month net income is positive (EPS of $0.03), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 32.65x, while the forward P/E is 9.14x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The wide gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests aggressive growth expectations, likely driven by the VOXZOGO approval and pipeline progress. Compared to the biotechnology industry average P/E of approximately 22x, BioMarin's trailing P/E of 32.65x represents a 48% premium, reflecting its rare disease focus and growth potential. However, the forward P/E of 9.14x is a steep discount to the industry, indicating that current earnings are depressed and expected to rebound sharply. Historically, BioMarin's trailing P/E has ranged from -61.18x (negative earnings) to 222.98x over the past few years. The current 32.65x is near the lower end of its historical positive P/E range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. The price-to-sales ratio of 3.54x is below the 5-year average of ~15x, further supporting a value-oriented perspective.

PE

32.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -19329x~295x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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