Confluent, Inc.
CFLT
$30.99
+1.04%
Confluent, Inc. operates a data streaming platform in the Software - Infrastructure industry. It is a foundational player in data-in-motion, offering a managed cloud service and enterprise-grade software built around Apache Kafka.
CFLT
Confluent, Inc.
$30.99
CFLT 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
No sufficient analyst coverage available. The provided analyst data only includes one analyst's estimates for future EPS and revenue, but does not contain consensus target prices or a distribution of ratings (e.g., Buy, Hold, Sell). The institutional ratings show a series of downgrades to 'Neutral' or 'Market Perform' from 'Buy' or 'Outperform' in December 2025, indicating a shift in sentiment towards caution.
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CFLT Technical Analysis
The stock has demonstrated strong overall performance over the past six months, surging 58.27% from a low near $19.58 in mid-September 2025 to its current level. This rally was punctuated by a significant jump in early December 2025, where the price moved from the low $20s to around $30, where it has since consolidated.
In the short term, the stock has shown resilience, gaining 1.41% over the past month and 3.44% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the broader market (SPY) which declined -5.25% and -4.63% over the same periods, respectively. The 1-month relative strength of 6.66 highlights this outperformance.
The current price of $30.99 is near the top of its 52-week range, sitting just $0.01 below the 52-week high of $31.00 and substantially above the 52-week low of $15.64. This indicates the stock is in a technically strong position, trading at its yearly peak.
Beta
0.95
0.95x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-50.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$16-$31
Price range past year
Annual Return
+17.6%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CFLT Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +1.4% | -3.7% |
| 3m | +3.4% | -4.1% |
| 6m | +58.3% | -2.1% |
| 1y | +17.6% | +16.1% |
| ytd | +2.9% | -3.9% |
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CFLT Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $314.8 million representing a 20.5% year-over-year increase. However, the company is not yet profitable, reporting a net loss of $79.2 million for the quarter. The net margin improved to -25.2% in Q4 2025 from -33.7% in Q4 2024, indicating a narrowing of losses on a larger revenue base.
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a healthy current ratio of 3.83 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95. Cash flow from operations was positive at $42.1 million for Q4 2025, and free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is positive at $50.5 million, suggesting improving cash generation despite reported losses.
Operational efficiency metrics show challenges, with a negative Return on Equity (ROE) of -25.3% and a negative Return on Assets (ROA) of -8.1%. The gross margin remains strong at 74.7% in Q4 2025, but operating expenses continue to outpace revenue growth, leading to operating losses.
Quarterly Revenue
$314819000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+20.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
74.7%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$50462000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is CFLT Overvalued?
Given the company's negative net income and EBITDA, the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric. Confluent trades at a PS ratio of 8.91 based on the provided data. Its Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) ratio is 8.69, which is in a similar range.
Peer comparison data is not available in the provided inputs, so a relative valuation against industry averages cannot be performed. The forward P/E ratio of 47.6, based on estimated future earnings, suggests the market is pricing in significant future profitability growth from current loss-making levels.
PE
-35.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-35.9x
Enterprise Value Multiple

