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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares

CRDO

$239.18

-7.80%

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is a technology company that designs and delivers high-speed, secure connectivity solutions to break bandwidth barriers in the data infrastructure market, operating within the Communication Equipment industry. The company has established itself as a key enabler for AI and hyperscale data centers, providing critical semiconductor intellectual property (IP) and connectivity chips that improve power and cost efficiency as data rates increase exponentially. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's explosive revenue growth tied to AI infrastructure demand, highlighted by recent news that its Q4 revenue alone surpassed its entire prior fiscal year's sales, yet debates center on whether this hyper-growth is sustainable and if the stock's massive run-up has already priced in these optimistic expectations.…

Should I buy CRDO
Bobby Quantitative Model
Jun 16, 2026

CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares

$239.18

-7.80%
Jun 16, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is a technology company that designs and delivers high-speed, secure connectivity solutions to break bandwidth barriers in the data infrastructure market, operating within the Communication Equipment industry. The company has established itself as a key enabler for AI and hyperscale data centers, providing critical semiconductor intellectual property (IP) and connectivity chips that improve power and cost efficiency as data rates increase exponentially. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's explosive revenue growth tied to AI infrastructure demand, highlighted by recent news that its Q4 revenue alone surpassed its entire prior fiscal year's sales, yet debates center on whether this hyper-growth is sustainable and if the stock's massive run-up has already priced in these optimistic expectations.
Should I buy CRDO

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Credo's Explosive Growth: AI Demand Drives Record Revenue
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Credo Stock Jumps on Strategic Silicon Photonics Acquisition
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Credo Technology (CRDO) Slides Despite Strong Earnings Beat

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CRDO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $239.18
Average Target $239.18
High Target $275.05699999999996
Low Target $203.303

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $310.93 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$310.93

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$191 - $311

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage for CRDO appears limited in the provided dataset, with only one analyst providing explicit estimates for revenue and EPS, though institutional ratings data shows activity from several firms including Needham, Mizuho, and Roth Capital. The consensus sentiment among these institutional analysts is bullish, with recent actions including 'Buy', 'Outperform', and 'Positive' ratings, though Rosenblatt maintains a 'Neutral' stance; the average target price is not explicitly provided in the data, making a precise upside/downside calculation impossible, but the high target range for estimated revenue ($6.8 billion high vs. $5.4 billion low) signals analysts see a wide potential outcome based on execution. The wide spread between the high and low revenue estimates, along with the stock's high beta of 3.23, indicates significant uncertainty and high conviction variability among market participants regarding Credo's ability to maintain its hyper-growth trajectory; the pattern of reiterated bullish ratings following earnings suggests analysts are generally supportive, but the limited explicit target data may reflect the stock's status as a high-growth, high-volatility name where traditional price targets are less emphasized than the growth narrative.

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CRDO Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +237.38% and trading near the top of its 52-week range, specifically at 92.8% of the range between its 52-week low of $72.03 and high of $270.21. This positioning near all-time highs signals strong momentum but also raises concerns about potential overextension, especially given the stock's extreme volatility with a beta of 3.23, meaning it is over three times more volatile than the broader market. Recent momentum has been exceptionally strong but shows signs of volatility, with a 1-month gain of +32.45% and a 3-month surge of +113.11%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's returns of -0.08% and +12.0% over the same periods, respectively; however, the sharp intra-month drawdowns visible in the price data, including a -13.95% drop on June 12th, indicate that the rally is punctuated by significant profit-taking and high volatility. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $72.03 and formidable resistance at the recent high of $270.21; a decisive breakout above $270 would signal a continuation of the powerful bull trend, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation lows around $170 could trigger a deeper correction, and the stock's beta of 3.23 underscores that position sizing must account for its wild swings relative to the market.

Beta

3.23

3.23x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-53.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$78-$270

Price range past year

Annual Return

+202.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCRDO ReturnS&P 500
1m+38.9%+1.5%
3m+135.1%+13.4%
6m+72.6%+10.9%
1y+202.1%+24.5%
ytd+67.0%+10.0%

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CRDO Fundamental Analysis

Credo's revenue trajectory has shifted from stagnation to explosive hyper-growth, with the most recent quarterly revenue for Q3 FY2026 reaching $407.01 million, representing a massive 201.5% year-over-year growth; this acceleration is stark when observing the sequential quarterly trend from $72.03 million in Q2 FY2025 to $407.01 million in Q3 FY2026, indicating the company is successfully capitalizing on the AI infrastructure build-out. Profitability has dramatically improved, transitioning from net losses to substantial profits, with Q3 FY2026 net income of $157.14 million and a robust net margin of 38.6%, supported by a strong gross margin of 68.5%; this represents a profound margin expansion from a net margin of -5.9% just four quarters prior, showcasing operating leverage as revenue scales. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with minimal debt, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.01 and a high current ratio of 10.15, while the company is generating significant free cash flow, with TTM free cash flow of $283.69 million, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives and strategic acquisitions like DustPhotonics without reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$407012000.0B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+2.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.68%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$283694000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Reportable Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is CRDO Overvalued?

Given the company's substantial positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is exceptionally high at 69.70x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 28.86x; this wide gap implies the market is pricing in extremely high earnings growth expectations for the coming year, anticipating that current profitability will scale rapidly. Compared to industry averages, Credo trades at a significant premium; its trailing PS ratio of 24.66x and forward PE of 28.86x are well above typical Communication Equipment sector multiples, a premium that investors appear willing to pay due to the company's superior growth profile, with revenue surging over 200% YoY, and its strategic positioning in the high-demand AI connectivity niche. Historically, the stock's valuation has expanded dramatically alongside its fundamentals; the current trailing PE of 69.70x is near the top of its observable historical range, having risen from deeply negative levels during its loss-making phase, suggesting the market is currently pricing in near-perfect execution of its growth narrative, leaving little room for disappointment.

PE

69.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -7974x~1913x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

62.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Related headlines

Bullish
Credo's Explosive Growth: AI Demand Drives Record Revenue
Bullish
Credo Stock Jumps on Strategic Silicon Photonics Acquisition
Bullish
Credo Technology (CRDO) Slides Despite Strong Earnings Beat

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