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CoStar Group

CSGP

$28.39

-2.74%

CoStar Group is a global provider of proprietary information, analytics, and online marketplaces serving both commercial and residential real estate, operating through brands like CoStar Suite, LoopNet, Apartments.com, and Homes.com. It is the dominant data and listing platform in the U.S. commercial real estate industry, functioning as a critical information utility for brokers, lenders, and owners worldwide. The current investor narrative centers on the company's aggressive push into the residential real estate market via Homes.com, which has driven significant revenue growth but also compressed margins due to heavy marketing spend, leading to a sharp stock decline and debate over the long-term return on this investment.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 10, 2026

CSGP

CoStar Group

$28.39

-2.74%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
CoStar Group is a global provider of proprietary information, analytics, and online marketplaces serving both commercial and residential real estate, operating through brands like CoStar Suite, LoopNet, Apartments.com, and Homes.com. It is the dominant data and listing platform in the U.S. commercial real estate industry, functioning as a critical information utility for brokers, lenders, and owners worldwide. The current investor narrative centers on the company's aggressive push into the residential real estate market via Homes.com, which has driven significant revenue growth but also compressed margins due to heavy marketing spend, leading to a sharp stock decline and debate over the long-term return on this investment.

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CSGP 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $28.39
Average Target $28.39
High Target $32.65
Low Target $24.13

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CoStar Group's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $36.91 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$36.91

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$23 - $37

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only 6 analysts cover CSGP, which is low for a company of its size ($28 billion market cap), likely due to its recent underperformance and sector-specific nature. The limited coverage means less efficient price discovery and potentially higher volatility. Among the few ratings, the consensus leans neutral-to-bullish: Goldman Sachs, BTIG, Needham, Citizens, and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods rate it Buy/Outperform, while Wells Fargo rates it Underweight and BMO Capital rates it Market Perform. No recent price targets are provided, but the estimated EPS of $3.68 for the next fiscal year implies a forward P/E of 7.7x at the current price, which would be deeply undervalued if achieved. However, the wide range of estimated EPS ($3.60 to $3.78) suggests uncertainty about the earnings trajectory. The lack of a consensus target price and the small analyst base mean investors should rely more on fundamental and technical analysis.

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CSGP Technical Analysis

CSGP is in a severe downtrend, with the stock price falling 67.0% over the past year and currently trading at $28.39, just 2.9% above its 52-week low of $28.09 and 70.9% below its 52-week high of $97.43. The price sits at the bottom of its 52-week range, indicating persistent selling pressure and a lack of buying interest, typical of a stock in a bear market. The 1-year price change of -67.0% and the 52-week low proximity suggest the stock is deeply oversold but also reflects fundamental concerns. Short-term momentum remains decisively negative, with a 1-month price change of -17.1% and a 3-month change of -22.2%, both accelerating to the downside. This divergence from the broader market (SPY up 4.1% in 1 month and 11.1% in 3 months) highlights company-specific weakness. The relative strength indicators (1-month relative strength of -21.1% vs. SPY) confirm that CSGP is underperforming significantly, and the consistent decline suggests no near-term reversal catalyst. The 52-week low of $28.09 serves as critical support; a breakdown below this level could trigger further selling toward the next psychological level of $25. The 52-week high of $97.43 is a distant resistance, and any recovery would first need to clear the $35 area (recent consolidation zone). With a beta of 0.735, CSGP is less volatile than the overall market, meaning its decline is not driven by broad market risk but by idiosyncratic factors. The low beta also implies that a market rally may provide only limited lift to the stock.

Beta

0.73

0.73x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-70.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$28-$97

Price range past year

Annual Return

-67.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCSGP ReturnS&P 500
1m-17.1%+1.8%
3m-22.2%+10.0%
6m-51.5%+8.8%
1y-67.0%+21.1%
ytd-56.8%+10.7%

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CSGP Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has been growing strongly, with Q4 2025 revenue of $900 million, up 26.9% year-over-year from $709.4 million in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue is approximately $3.25 billion, driven by the multifamily online marketplace (Apartments.com) at $303 million and CoStar Suite at $277 million in the latest quarter. However, growth is decelerating from the 28%+ pace seen in early 2025, and the residential segment (Homes.com) contributed only $54.9 million, suggesting the heavy investment there has yet to yield proportional revenue. The company is barely profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $47 million and a net margin of 5.2%, a sharp decline from the 8.4% net margin in Q4 2024. Gross margin remains high at 73.9%, but operating margin fell to 5.5% from 5.6% a year ago, as selling and marketing expenses surged to $377.9 million (42% of revenue) from $308.5 million (43.5% of revenue) in Q4 2024. The company reported negative operating income in Q1 and Q3 2025, indicating that profitability is fragile and heavily dependent on cost control. The balance sheet is solid, with $1.73 billion in cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.14, providing ample liquidity. However, free cash flow was negative $150.6 million in Q4 2025 due to heavy capital expenditures ($312.7 million), and trailing twelve-month free cash flow was only $117.3 million, yielding a meager 0.4% FCF yield. ROE is negligible at 0.08%, reflecting low returns on equity despite the strong revenue growth.

Quarterly Revenue

$900000000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+26.87%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

73.89%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$117300000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

CoStar Suite
Information services
LoopNet
Multifamily Online Marketplace
Residential

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Valuation Analysis: Is CSGP Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (TTM net income of $47 million), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 4,002x, while the forward P/E is 15.8x, implying the market expects a massive earnings recovery. This extreme gap reflects the current depressed earnings due to heavy spending, with analysts forecasting a sharp rebound in EPS to $3.68 in the coming year. Compared to the Real Estate - Services industry average P/E of approximately 22x (estimated), CSGP's forward P/E of 15.8x represents a 28% discount, suggesting the market is pricing in below-average growth or higher risk. However, the trailing P/E is astronomically high, indicating that current earnings are not supporting the stock price. Historically, CSGP's trailing P/E has ranged from 62x to 1,430x over the past five years, and the current trailing multiple of 4,002x is near the top of its historical range, reflecting exceptionally low earnings. The forward P/E of 15.8x is near the lower end of its historical forward range (typically 20-40x), implying that if the earnings recovery materializes, the stock could be undervalued. The P/S ratio of 8.6x is below the 5-year average of ~45x, but this is due to the stock price decline rather than revenue growth.

PE

4002.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -549x~1430x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

100.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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