Gilead Sciences
GILD
$127.23
+2.36%
Gilead Sciences is a global biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes therapies for life-threatening infectious diseases, with a core focus on HIV and viral hepatitis, and has strategically expanded into oncology through significant acquisitions. The company is a market leader in antiviral therapies and has established itself as a major player in cell therapy through its Kite Pharma subsidiary. The current investor narrative is dominated by Gilead's aggressive acquisition strategy to bolster its oncology and immunology pipelines, exemplified by recent multi-billion dollar deals for Arcellx and Tubulis, which is seen as a calculated bet on long-term growth to offset maturing legacy franchises, though this comes alongside mixed clinical trial results for key assets like Trodelvy.…
GILD
Gilead Sciences
$127.23
Related headlines
GILD 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Gilead Sciences's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $165.40 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$165.40
11 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
11
covering this stock
Price Range
$102 - $165
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage is robust with 11 firms providing estimates, and the institutional sentiment is predominantly bullish, as evidenced by recent actions from firms like Needham, Truist, Citigroup, and UBS all maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings. The consensus recommendation is Buy, and the average revenue estimate for the upcoming period is $38.16 billion, with EPS estimates averaging $12.84, though a specific consensus price target is not provided in the data. The target price range among analysts is likely wide, reflecting differing views on the success of the acquisition strategy and pipeline readouts; high targets would assume successful integration of acquisitions like Arcellx and robust growth from oncology assets, while low targets would factor in clinical setbacks, competitive pressures, and acquisition-related dilution. The pattern of recent ratings shows no downgrades, with firms reaffirming Buy or equivalent ratings following earnings and acquisition news, indicating sustained institutional confidence despite the stock's technical weakness.
GILD Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained downtrend from its recent highs, with a 1-year price change of +12.08% but a significant 3-month decline of -13.38%, indicating a sharp reversal of momentum. Currently trading at $125.59, the price sits at approximately 40% of its 52-week range ($104.46 to $157.29), positioning it much closer to the low end, which suggests a potential value opportunity but also reflects significant selling pressure and negative sentiment. Recent momentum is decisively negative, with the stock down -5.61% over the past month, sharply diverging from the positive 1-year trend and indicating a breakdown from its previous consolidation. This negative short-term momentum is further evidenced by a relative strength of -5.53% versus the S&P 500 over the same period, highlighting significant underperformance. Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $104.46, while resistance lies at the recent high of $157.29. A breakdown below support would signal a continuation of the bearish trend, while a recovery above the $140-$150 zone is needed to suggest stabilization. The stock's low beta of 0.33 indicates it is approximately 67% less volatile than the broader market, which historically provided defensive characteristics but has not prevented the recent sharp decline.
Beta
0.33
0.33x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-22.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$104-$157
Price range past year
Annual Return
+14.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | GILD Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -1.8% | +1.5% |
| 3m | -10.0% | +13.4% |
| 6m | +4.7% | +10.9% |
| 1y | +14.8% | +24.5% |
| ytd | +4.6% | +10.0% |
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GILD Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is modest but positive, with Q4 2025 revenue of $7.93 billion representing a 4.7% year-over-year increase, though this follows a more volatile multi-quarter pattern with significant swings in profitability. Segment data shows the core HIV franchise, with 'Other HIV' products generating $5.8 billion in the period, remains the dominant revenue driver, while newer oncology assets like Cell Therapy ($627M) and Trodelvy ($383M) are contributing growing but smaller streams. The company is solidly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $2.18 billion and a robust gross margin of 86.84%, although net income has fluctuated significantly quarter-to-quarter, from a loss in Q1 2024 to over $3 billion in Q3 2025. The trailing twelve-month net margin is 28.9%, and operating margin is 39.7%, indicating strong underlying profitability, but investors must monitor consistency as the company integrates acquisitions and invests in R&D. The balance sheet is leveraged but supported by strong cash generation, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.09 and a current ratio of 1.68 providing adequate liquidity. Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months is a substantial $9.46 billion, yielding a healthy FCF yield of approximately 6.2% based on the current market cap, demonstrating the company's ability to fund dividends, share buybacks, and strategic acquisitions internally.
Quarterly Revenue
$7.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.04%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.86%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$9.5B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is GILD Overvalued?
Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 17.94x, while the forward P/E is lower at 13.10x, indicating the market expects earnings growth, likely driven by contributions from recent acquisitions and pipeline advancements. Compared to sector averages, Gilead's trailing P/E of 17.94x is at a discount to the broader biopharmaceutical industry, which often trades in the low-to-mid 20s, suggesting the market is pricing in lower growth expectations or concerns about pipeline execution. The price-to-sales ratio of 5.19x and EV/Sales of 5.67x also appear reasonable for a large-cap pharma with stable cash flows. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has ranged widely, from negative figures during loss-making quarters to over 25x; the current 17.94x is near the midpoint of its recent historical range, suggesting the valuation is neither excessively optimistic nor pessimistic, but rather reflects a balanced view of its mature franchises and growth optionality.
PE
17.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -5x~982x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
12.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

