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Guidewire Software

GWRE

$192.76

-4.14%

Guidewire Software provides cloud-based software solutions for property and casualty insurers, with its flagship InsuranceSuite comprising ClaimCenter, PolicyCenter, and BillingCenter, along with InsuranceNow for midmarket clients. As a market leader in P&C insurance software, Guidewire is distinct for its deep industry specialization and successful transition to a cloud subscription model. The current investor narrative centers on accelerating cloud adoption and international expansion, highlighted by a recent long-term deal with Sompo to modernize worldwide operations, which validates its platform strategy and drives debate on growth sustainability versus valuation concerns.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Sep 2, 2026

GWRE

Guidewire Software

$192.76

-4.14%
Sep 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Guidewire Software provides cloud-based software solutions for property and casualty insurers, with its flagship InsuranceSuite comprising ClaimCenter, PolicyCenter, and BillingCenter, along with InsuranceNow for midmarket clients. As a market leader in P&C insurance software, Guidewire is distinct for its deep industry specialization and successful transition to a cloud subscription model. The current investor narrative centers on accelerating cloud adoption and international expansion, highlighted by a recent long-term deal with Sompo to modernize worldwide operations, which validates its platform strategy and drives debate on growth sustainability versus valuation concerns.

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GWRE 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $192.76
Average Target $192.76
High Target $221.67
Low Target $163.85

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Guidewire Software's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $210.86 and implied upside of +9.4% versus the current price.

Average Target

$210.86

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+9.4%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

—

covering this stock

Price Range

$137 - $258

Analyst target range

Guidewire is covered by 14 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' and a mean recommendation score of 1.625 (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average target price is $202.43, which is 1.7% below the current price of $205.85, implying a slight downside of -1.7%. The distribution includes 10 recent ratings from major firms like JP Morgan (Overweight), BTIG (Buy), and Goldman Sachs (Buy), all maintaining positive stances, indicating a bullish sentiment among analysts.

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GWRE Technical Analysis

Guidewire's stock has experienced a volatile year, with a 1-year price change of -5.88%, yet it has rebounded strongly from its 52-week low of $102.30 to currently trade at $205.85, which is 75.5% of the 52-week range (between low and high of $272.60). This positioning near the upper end of the range suggests renewed momentum, though the stock remains below its 52-week high, indicating potential resistance overhead. The 6-month change of +41.65% underscores a significant recovery from the lows seen in June 2026.

Beta

0.93

0.93x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-60.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$102-$273

Price range past year

Annual Return

-11.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGWRE ReturnS&P 500
1m+22.5%+1.0%
3m+27.5%+1.1%
6m+14.1%+13.8%
1y-11.4%+19.5%
ytd+2.7%+12.2%

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GWRE Fundamental Analysis

Guidewire's revenue growth has accelerated, with the most recent quarter (Q3 FY2026, ending April 30, 2026) showing revenue of $372.5 million, a 26.9% YoY increase, up from $293.5 million in the same quarter last year. This growth is driven by subscription revenue of $232.1 million, which now constitutes 62% of total revenue, while service revenue contributed $71.8 million and support $12.6 million. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential acceleration from $332.6 million in Q1 FY2026 to $359.1 million in Q2 and $372.5 million in Q3, indicating strong demand for cloud offerings.

Quarterly Revenue

$372541000.0B

2026-04

Revenue YoY Growth

+26.9%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

63.5%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$254977000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Service
Subscription
Support

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Valuation Analysis: Is GWRE Overvalued?

Given that Guidewire is profitable with trailing EPS of $0.0037, the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric, but it is extremely high at 272.6x trailing, while the forward PE is 50.3x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests a massive anticipated improvement in profitability, which is supported by the company's transition to cloud subscriptions and operating leverage. Alternatively, the PS ratio of 15.8x provides a more stable comparison, but the PE is more appropriate given positive net income.

PE

272.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 50x~233x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

219.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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