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Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

$256.35

+0.21%

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diversified healthcare company, operating through two primary segments: Innovative Medicine (pharmaceuticals) and MedTech (medical devices). Following the 2023 divestiture of its consumer health business (Kenvue), J&J has repositioned itself as a pure-play innovator in pharmaceuticals and medical technology, with a focused pipeline in immunology, oncology, and neurology. The current investor narrative centers on the company's accelerating growth trajectory, driven by strong drug sales and recent pipeline wins, including a successful Phase 2/3 trial for a rare blood disorder treatment and a $1 billion acquisition targeting undruggable cancer targets. Debate persists around whether the stock's recent rally—up over 55% in the past year—has fully priced in these catalysts, with some analysts urging caution on valuation.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 31, 2026

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

$256.35

+0.21%
Jul 31, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diversified healthcare company, operating through two primary segments: Innovative Medicine (pharmaceuticals) and MedTech (medical devices). Following the 2023 divestiture of its consumer health business (Kenvue), J&J has repositioned itself as a pure-play innovator in pharmaceuticals and medical technology, with a focused pipeline in immunology, oncology, and neurology. The current investor narrative centers on the company's accelerating growth trajectory, driven by strong drug sales and recent pipeline wins, including a successful Phase 2/3 trial for a rare blood disorder treatment and a $1 billion acquisition targeting undruggable cancer targets. Debate persists around whether the stock's recent rally—up over 55% in the past year—has fully priced in these catalysts, with some analysts urging caution on valuation.

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JNJ 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $256.35
Average Target $256.35
High Target $294.80
Low Target $217.90

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Johnson & Johnson's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $270.59 and implied upside of +5.6% versus the current price.

Average Target

$270.59

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+5.6%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

—

covering this stock

Price Range

$190 - $305

Analyst target range

Johnson & Johnson is covered by 22 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' (mean rating 1.91 on a 1-5 scale where 1 is Strong Buy). The average price target is $270.59, implying approximately 2.7% upside from the current price of $263.40. The distribution leans bullish, with recent ratings from RBC Capital (Outperform), TD Cowen (Buy), Morgan Stanley (Overweight), and Citigroup (Buy) reinforcing positive sentiment. The analyst target range spans from a low of $190.00 to a high of $305.00, representing a wide spread of $115 (60% of the low target), indicating significant uncertainty about the stock's future trajectory. The high target of $305 implies roughly 16% upside and likely assumes successful pipeline execution, continued margin expansion, and potential multiple expansion. The low target of $190 suggests a 28% downside, potentially pricing in risks such as patent cliffs, regulatory setbacks, or a broader market downturn. Recent analyst actions have been predominantly positive, with upgrades from Leerink Partners (Market Perform to Outperform) and reaffirmations of Buy/Overweight ratings from multiple firms. The wide target spread reflects the binary nature of pharmaceutical pipeline outcomes, but the overall bullish consensus suggests analysts see a favorable risk/reward profile at current levels.

Drowning in data?

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Drowning in data?

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JNJ Technical Analysis

Johnson & Johnson is in a powerful sustained uptrend, with the stock up 55.3% over the past year, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 16.5% gain. The current price of $263.40 sits at 97.8% of its 52-week range (high $269.43, low $164.23), indicating the stock is near the top of its range and reflecting strong bullish momentum. This positioning near highs suggests the market is pricing in continued positive fundamentals, though it also raises the risk of a short-term pullback or consolidation. Short-term momentum is accelerating sharply: the 1-month price change is +9.3% and the 3-month change is +15.8%, both well above the S&P 500's respective gains of 0.8% and 3.5%. The relative strength over 1 month (8.5%) and 3 months (12.3%) confirms JNJ is significantly outperforming the broader market. This acceleration in momentum aligns with the longer-term uptrend, reinforcing the bullish case, though the rapid pace could lead to overextension. The 52-week high of $269.43 serves as immediate resistance; a breakout above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend and likely attract further buying. Support lies at the 52-week low of $164.23, though a more relevant near-term support is the recent consolidation zone around $230-$240. With a beta of just 0.24, JNJ is significantly less volatile than the market, making it a defensive holding that offers stability during broader market turbulence.

Beta

0.23

0.23x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-11.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$165-$275

Price range past year

Annual Return

+55.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodJNJ ReturnS&P 500
1m+0.9%+0.2%
3m+12.8%+3.7%
6m+12.8%+8.0%
1y+55.6%+18.2%
ytd+23.6%+9.6%

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JNJ Fundamental Analysis

Johnson & Johnson's revenue trajectory is firmly in growth mode, with Q1 2026 revenue of $24.06 billion representing a 9.9% year-over-year increase, accelerating from the 4.5% growth seen in Q4 2025. The Innovative Medicine segment contributed $15.43 billion (64% of total revenue), while MedTech added $8.64 billion, highlighting the pharmaceutical division as the primary growth engine. The multi-quarter trend shows consistent sequential improvement, with revenue rising from $21.89 billion in Q1 2025 to $24.06 billion in Q1 2026, signaling robust operational execution and strong demand for key products. Profitability remains impressive, with Q1 2026 net income of $5.24 billion and a net margin of 21.8%, though this is down from the unusually high 50.2% margin in Q1 2025 (which benefited from a one-time gain). Gross margin expanded to 71.5% in Q1 2026 from 66.4% a year earlier, reflecting favorable product mix and cost controls. Operating margin of 26.6% is healthy and consistent with industry norms for large-cap pharma, indicating efficient cost management despite increased R&D spending of $3.53 billion (14.7% of revenue). The balance sheet is solid: debt-to-equity stands at a conservative 0.59, and the current ratio of 1.03 indicates adequate liquidity. Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months reached $17.8 billion, providing substantial capacity for dividends, share buybacks, and strategic acquisitions. Return on equity (ROE) of 32.9% is exceptional, reflecting strong profitability and efficient capital use. The company generated $2.51 billion in operating cash flow in Q1 2026, comfortably covering capital expenditures of $1.05 billion and dividend payments of $3.13 billion, demonstrating self-funding capability.

Quarterly Revenue

$24.1B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+9.9%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

71.5%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$17.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Innovative Medicine
MedTech

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Valuation Analysis: Is JNJ Overvalued?

Given Johnson & Johnson's positive net income, we lead with the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 18.8x, while the forward P/E is 20.5x, implying the market expects earnings growth over the next 12 months. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests modest growth expectations, consistent with the company's mid-single-digit earnings growth trajectory. Compared to the industry average (Drug Manufacturers - General), JNJ's trailing P/E of 18.8x is at a discount to the sector median of approximately 22x, representing a roughly 15% discount. This discount appears unwarranted given JNJ's superior scale, diversified business model, and strong free cash flow generation. The PEG ratio of 0.21 is exceptionally low, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential, though this metric should be interpreted cautiously as it may reflect near-term earnings volatility. Historically, JNJ's current trailing P/E of 18.8x is near the lower end of its 5-year range of roughly 16x to 28x, indicating the stock is trading at a relatively attractive valuation compared to its own history. This suggests that while the stock has rallied significantly, earnings growth has kept pace, and the market is not yet pricing in overly optimistic expectations. The price-to-book ratio of 6.2x is elevated relative to historical averages near 5x, but this is partly due to the reduced equity base following the Kenvue divestiture.

PE

18.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 17x~36x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Related headlines

Bullish
JNJ: Surgical Robot, Dividend Hike, and Talc Settlement
Bullish
Forget Weight Loss Drugs: Eli Lilly's Mental Health Bet
Neutral
Is It Too Late to Buy JNJ After Blowout Earnings?
Bullish
Why JNJ's Pullback Is a Buying Opportunity
Bullish
Biogen's $1B Mystery Buy: A Smart Bet on Immunology

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