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Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.

OHI

$49.02

-0.77%

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in healthcare-related properties, primarily skilled nursing and assisted living facilities in the U.S., U.K., and Canada. As a leading triple-net lease REIT focused on the fragmented skilled nursing industry, it differentiates itself through deep operator relationships and a diversified portfolio of over 900 properties. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strong operational recovery post-pandemic, with accelerating revenue growth and improving occupancy trends, while debates persist around the sustainability of its high dividend yield and the impact of rising interest rates on its cost of capital.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 6, 2026

OHI

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.

$49.02

-0.77%
Jul 6, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in healthcare-related properties, primarily skilled nursing and assisted living facilities in the U.S., U.K., and Canada. As a leading triple-net lease REIT focused on the fragmented skilled nursing industry, it differentiates itself through deep operator relationships and a diversified portfolio of over 900 properties. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strong operational recovery post-pandemic, with accelerating revenue growth and improving occupancy trends, while debates persist around the sustainability of its high dividend yield and the impact of rising interest rates on its cost of capital.

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OHI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $49.02
Average Target $49.02
High Target $56.37
Low Target $41.67

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $63.73 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$63.73

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$39 - $64

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only 3 analysts cover the stock, with consensus estimates for revenue of $1.14 billion (low $1.10B, high $1.21B) but no EPS estimates or price targets provided. The limited coverage implies Omega is a mid-cap REIT with moderate institutional interest, leading to less efficient price discovery and potentially higher volatility. The available ratings from major firms (Wells Fargo Equal Weight, Truist Hold, Scotiabank Sector Perform, RBC Sector Perform, Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight, BMO Market Perform, UBS Buy) show a neutral-to-bullish tilt, with no outright sell ratings. The lack of a consensus price target means investors must rely on fundamental analysis and technical levels for entry and exit decisions.

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OHI Technical Analysis

Omega Healthcare Investors is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price up 35.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. As of July 2, 2026, the stock closed at $49.40, just 0.02% below its 52-week high of $49.41 and 38.4% above its 52-week low of $35.70, indicating strong momentum near the top of its range. This positioning near highs suggests bullish sentiment but also raises caution about potential overextension, as the stock has rallied sharply from its low. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with a 1-month price change of +10.2% and a 3-month change of +9.8%, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of -1.25% and +13.6%. The 1-month relative strength of +11.5% versus the S&P 500 confirms strong near-term buying pressure, while the 3-month relative strength of -3.8% suggests a slight divergence from the broader market's recent rally, potentially indicating a pause or consolidation. The stock's beta of 0.57 implies it is significantly less volatile than the market, making it a lower-risk holding. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $35.70, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $49.41. A breakout above $49.41 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting new highs, while a breakdown below $35.70 would negate the bullish structure. The low beta suggests that any pullback may be shallower than the broader market, but the stock's low volume (data not available) could amplify moves.

Beta

0.57

0.57x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-10.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$36-$50

Price range past year

Annual Return

+33.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodOHI ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.2%+1.9%
3m+7.9%+14.0%
6m+8.6%+8.9%
1y+33.7%+20.1%
ytd+10.1%+10.2%

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OHI Fundamental Analysis

Omega Healthcare's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $321.8 million, up 15.2% year-over-year from $279.3 million in Q4 2024. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, with revenue rising from $243.3 million in Q1 2024 to $321.8 million in Q4 2025, driven by rent escalations, new investments, and improved occupancy. The company's revenue segments are dominated by issuer and subsidiary guarantors ($71.2 million) and non-guarantor subsidiaries ($13.4 million), reflecting a stable tenant base. The strong growth trajectory supports the investment case for a REIT recovering from pandemic-era headwinds, though investors should monitor tenant concentration risks. Profitability is robust, with net income of $164.7 million in Q4 2025, up from $113.3 million a year earlier, and a net margin of 51.2%. Gross margin improved to 47.2% in Q4 2025 from 45.0% in the prior year, while operating margin expanded to 63.5% from 62.8%, reflecting operating leverage. The company is highly profitable, with EPS of $0.58 in Q4 2025, and margins are expanding, which is typical for well-run triple-net lease REITs. The balance sheet is healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.82 and a current ratio of 3.46, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) is $859.8 million, providing strong coverage for the dividend (payout ratio of 132.2% based on net income, but FCF covers dividends). ROE of 11.4% and ROA of 5.0% demonstrate efficient capital use. The company generates sufficient cash to fund operations and dividends, reducing reliance on external financing, though the high payout ratio warrants monitoring.

Quarterly Revenue

$321817000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+15.22%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

47.22%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$859844000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Issuer And Subsidiary Guarantors
Non Guarantor Subsidiaries

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Valuation Analysis: Is OHI Overvalued?

Given that net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 21.95x, while the forward P/E is 24.29x, implying the market expects earnings to decline slightly over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests modest growth expectations, which aligns with the REIT's mature industry. Compared to the industry average (data not available), Omega's P/E of 21.95x appears reasonable for a REIT with strong growth and profitability. The P/S ratio of 10.96x and EV/EBITDA of 14.84x provide additional context, with the EV/EBITDA multiple in line with healthcare REIT peers. Historically, Omega's trailing P/E has ranged from 9.84x (Q1 2022) to 53.25x (Q4 2021), with the current 21.95x near the middle of that range. This suggests the stock is fairly valued relative to its own history, not overly expensive or cheap. The PEG ratio of 0.77 indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate, supporting a bullish valuation case.

PE

22.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 10x~53x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

14.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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