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Prologis

PLD

$141.36

+0.26%

Prologis is the global leader in logistics real estate, developing, acquiring, and operating approximately 1.3 billion square feet of industrial facilities across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. As the largest industrial REIT by market capitalization, it benefits from unparalleled scale and a strategic capital business managing $60 billion in third-party assets. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to sustain growth through e-commerce demand and data center conversions, while navigating a rising interest rate environment and a slight revenue miss in the latest quarter. Recent guidance raises and a 6% dividend increase have reinforced confidence in its cash flow generation and long-term outlook.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

PLD

Prologis

$141.36

+0.26%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Prologis is the global leader in logistics real estate, developing, acquiring, and operating approximately 1.3 billion square feet of industrial facilities across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. As the largest industrial REIT by market capitalization, it benefits from unparalleled scale and a strategic capital business managing $60 billion in third-party assets. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to sustain growth through e-commerce demand and data center conversions, while navigating a rising interest rate environment and a slight revenue miss in the latest quarter. Recent guidance raises and a 6% dividend increase have reinforced confidence in its cash flow generation and long-term outlook.

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PLD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $141.36
Average Target $141.36
High Target $162.56
Low Target $120.16

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Prologis's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $183.77 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$183.77

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$113 - $184

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Only 2 analysts cover Prologis, with a consensus recommendation leaning bullish. The average target price is not explicitly provided, but the estimated EPS range of $5.08 to $5.28 for the current year implies a forward P/E of 26.4x to 27.5x, suggesting an upside of approximately 30% from the current price of $139.43. The limited coverage is typical for a large-cap REIT, but the bullish sentiment is supported by recent upgrades from Mizuho and Truist Securities. The target range is narrow, indicating high conviction among analysts. The high end of the EPS estimate ($5.28) assumes continued margin expansion and data center growth, while the low end ($5.08) reflects potential headwinds from higher interest rates. The recent dividend increase and guidance raise further reinforce positive sentiment.

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PLD Technical Analysis

Prologis is in a sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +28.7%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1% over the same period. The current price of $139.43 sits at 78.5% of its 52-week range ($103.41–$150.18), indicating the stock is closer to its highs but not overextended, suggesting positive momentum without being at risk of a sharp pullback. The 52-week high of $150.18 represents a key resistance level, while the low of $103.41 provides a strong support floor. With a beta of 1.34, Prologis is 34% more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. A breakout above $150.18 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $103.41 would indicate a potential reversal.

Beta

1.34

1.34x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-10.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$103-$150

Price range past year

Annual Return

+32.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPLD ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.2%+2.0%
3m+3.0%+10.6%
6m+9.2%+8.3%
1y+32.9%+20.4%
ytd+9.5%+10.2%

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PLD Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has grown steadily, with Q4 2025 revenue of $2.25 billion, up 2.4% year-over-year from $2.20 billion in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue reached $8.79 billion, driven by the Real Estate Operations segment ($4.10 billion) and Strategic Capital ($295 million). Growth is decelerating from the double-digit pace seen in 2022, but the company's focus on high-demand logistics and data center conversions provides a runway for mid-single-digit growth. Prologis is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $1.40 billion and a net margin of 62.1%, reflecting strong operating leverage. Gross margin improved to 74.7% in Q2 2025 from 44.6% in Q4 2025, though this volatility is due to cost of revenue fluctuations from property sales. The company's balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 and free cash flow of $1.16 billion in Q4 2025. ROE stands at 6.4%, and the payout ratio of 110% indicates dividends exceed net income, but this is common for REITs and supported by strong cash flow.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+2.37%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

44.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$5.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Real Estate Operations Segment
Strategic Capital Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is PLD Overvalued?

Given Prologis's positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 35.8x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 41.1x implies the market expects earnings growth, as the higher forward multiple suggests investors are pricing in future expansion. Compared to the REIT - Industrial industry average P/E of 22.0x, Prologis trades at a 63% premium, reflecting its market leadership and superior growth profile. The premium is justified by its 28.7% 1-year price return and 62.1% net margin, far exceeding industry norms. Historically, the current trailing P/E of 35.8x is near the middle of its 5-year range (19.1x to 63.6x), suggesting the stock is fairly valued relative to its own history. The P/B ratio of 2.25x is also near the midpoint of its historical range (1.81x to 3.72x), indicating no extreme overvaluation.

PE

35.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 19x~64x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Related headlines

Bullish
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Bullish
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Neutral
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Bullish
Prologis Hikes Dividend 6%, Signaling Financial Strength

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