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Roku, Inc.

ROKU

$140.26

+0.73%

Roku, Inc. is a leading streaming platform that enables consumers to stream television programming through its operating system, streaming devices, and The Roku Channel, operating in the entertainment industry. As the top streaming OS in the US, reaching over half of broadband households, Roku distinguishes itself as a dominant platform player with a vast user base and 145 billion streaming hours in 2025. The current investor narrative centers on Fox Corp's $22 billion acquisition of Roku, announced in June 2026, which has driven a significant stock surge and sparked debate about the strategic fit, valuation, and integration risks. Additionally, Roku's recent profitability turnaround and accelerating advertising revenue growth are key focal points for investors.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

ROKU

Roku, Inc.

$140.26

+0.73%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Roku, Inc. is a leading streaming platform that enables consumers to stream television programming through its operating system, streaming devices, and The Roku Channel, operating in the entertainment industry. As the top streaming OS in the US, reaching over half of broadband households, Roku distinguishes itself as a dominant platform player with a vast user base and 145 billion streaming hours in 2025. The current investor narrative centers on Fox Corp's $22 billion acquisition of Roku, announced in June 2026, which has driven a significant stock surge and sparked debate about the strategic fit, valuation, and integration risks. Additionally, Roku's recent profitability turnaround and accelerating advertising revenue growth are key focal points for investors.

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ROKU 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $140.26
Average Target $140.26
High Target $161.30
Low Target $119.22

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Roku, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $182.34 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$182.34

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$112 - $182

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Roku is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: recent ratings include multiple Buy/Outperform/Overweight ratings from firms like Pivotal Research, Evercore ISI, and Rosenblatt (which upgraded from Neutral to Buy in February 2026). The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $6.85, with a low of $6.68 and high of $7.08, while average revenue is estimated at $7.851 billion. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, and the average price target is not explicitly provided in the data, but based on the forward P/E of 38.64x and estimated EPS of $6.85, the implied target is approximately $264.70, suggesting significant upside from the current price of $142.43. The target range spans from a low of $6.68 EPS (implying ~$258 at 38.64x) to a high of $7.08 EPS (implying ~$273), indicating a tight spread that reflects strong conviction among analysts. The high target assumes continued growth acceleration and margin expansion, while the low target still implies robust performance. Recent upgrades from Rosenblatt and consistent Outperform ratings from multiple firms underscore positive sentiment. The wide gap between current price and implied targets suggests the market has not fully priced in the acquisition premium or future earnings potential, but investors should consider the execution risks associated with the Fox acquisition.

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ROKU Technical Analysis

Roku is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 64.85% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $142.43 sits at 95.7% of its 52-week range ($78.53–$148.88), indicating the stock is near its highs and reflecting strong momentum. This positioning suggests bullish sentiment but also potential overextension, as the stock has rallied sharply on acquisition news. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with a 1-month gain of 12.04% and a 3-month gain of 45.84%, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of -1.25% and 13.56%. The 1-month relative strength of 13.29% confirms Roku is strongly outperforming the market recently. However, the 1-year trend shows a more moderate 64.85% gain, suggesting the recent surge may be driven by the acquisition catalyst rather than organic growth. Key resistance is at the 52-week high of $148.88, while support lies at the 52-week low of $78.53. A breakout above $148.88 could signal further upside, while a breakdown below recent support near $120 would indicate weakening momentum. Roku's beta of 2.008 implies it is roughly twice as volatile as the S&P 500, meaning it could amplify market moves and requires careful risk management.

Beta

2.01

2.01x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-27.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$79-$149

Price range past year

Annual Return

+58.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodROKU ReturnS&P 500
1m+16.0%+2.0%
3m+36.9%+10.6%
6m+26.2%+8.3%
1y+58.3%+20.4%
ytd+29.0%+10.2%

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ROKU Fundamental Analysis

Roku's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.395 billion growing 16.14% year-over-year, up from 10.6% growth in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue reached $4.84 billion, with sequential growth from $1.021 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.395 billion in Q4 2025. The Platform segment, which generated $2.197 billion in the latest period, is the primary growth driver, benefiting from increased advertising and subscription revenue. This accelerating growth supports the investment case as Roku scales its ad-supported streaming model. Roku turned profitable in Q4 2025, reporting net income of $80.5 million, a sharp improvement from a net loss of $35.5 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved to 43.5% in Q4 2025 from 42.7% a year earlier, while operating margin turned positive at 4.73% versus -3.26% in the prior year. The company's net margin of 5.77% in Q4 2025 is a significant milestone, though still below industry averages for mature tech firms. The trajectory toward sustained profitability is encouraging, with three consecutive quarters of positive net income through Q4 2025. Roku maintains a strong balance sheet with $1.587 billion in cash, a current ratio of 2.75, and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33. Free cash flow was $221.6 million in Q4 2025, bringing TTM FCF to $593.5 million, which provides ample liquidity for internal growth. The company's ROE of 3.32% is modest but improving, reflecting the recent return to profitability. With no dividend and minimal debt, Roku is financially self-sufficient and well-positioned to fund its operations and strategic initiatives.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+16.14%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

43.50%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$593509000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Platform Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is ROKU Overvalued?

Given Roku's positive net income of $80.5 million in Q4 2025, the trailing P/E ratio of 180.82x is the primary valuation metric, though it is elevated due to historically low earnings. The forward P/E of 38.64x implies a sharp decline in the multiple as earnings are expected to grow significantly, reflecting market optimism about future profitability. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market anticipates a substantial earnings recovery, which is plausible given the recent turnaround. Compared to the Communication Services sector average P/E of approximately 22x, Roku's trailing P/E of 180.82x represents a 722% premium, while its forward P/E of 38.64x is still a 76% premium. This premium is partially justified by Roku's dominant market position in streaming OS and its accelerating revenue growth, but it also embeds high expectations for sustained profitability. Historically, Roku's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (during loss years) to over 300x in 2021. The current trailing P/E of 180.82x is near the lower end of its historical range since turning profitable, suggesting the stock is not as overvalued as in prior years. However, the forward P/E of 38.64x is more reasonable and indicates that the market is pricing in a normalization of earnings, which could be achievable if growth continues.

PE

180.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -299x~324x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

34.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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