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Synopsys

SNPS

$443.37

+2.04%

Synopsys is a leading provider of electronic design automation (EDA) software and semiconductor intellectual property (IP), enabling chip designers to create complex integrated circuits. As a dominant player in the EDA industry, Synopsys holds a strong competitive position, benefiting from the convergence of semiconductor and systems companies investing in in-house chip design. The current investor narrative centers on Synopsys' growth trajectory, driven by secular trends in AI and digitalization, but recent stock weakness following its Q2 earnings beat and the completion of its Processor IP sale to GlobalFoundries has created a debate about valuation and organic growth sustainability.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

SNPS

Synopsys

$443.37

+2.04%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Synopsys is a leading provider of electronic design automation (EDA) software and semiconductor intellectual property (IP), enabling chip designers to create complex integrated circuits. As a dominant player in the EDA industry, Synopsys holds a strong competitive position, benefiting from the convergence of semiconductor and systems companies investing in in-house chip design. The current investor narrative centers on Synopsys' growth trajectory, driven by secular trends in AI and digitalization, but recent stock weakness following its Q2 earnings beat and the completion of its Processor IP sale to GlobalFoundries has created a debate about valuation and organic growth sustainability.

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SNPS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $443.37
Average Target $443.37
High Target $509.88
Low Target $376.86

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Synopsys's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $576.38 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$576.38

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$355 - $576

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Synopsys is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The distribution includes 4 Buy/Overweight ratings, 2 Hold/Neutral, and 1 Sell (implied from downgrades). The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $23.32 and a forward P/E of 25.33x, the implied target is approximately $590. This suggests an upside of about 35% from the current price of $437.16. The consensus recommendation is Overweight, indicating positive sentiment. The target range is wide: the low estimate of $22.73 EPS implies a target of ~$575, while the high of $23.72 EPS implies ~$600. This tight range (within 4%) suggests high conviction among analysts. Recent ratings show a mix: Morgan Stanley downgraded from Overweight to Equal Weight in February 2026, while Rosenblatt maintained Buy. The wide spread between the current price and analyst targets indicates that the market is pricing in more risk than analysts, possibly due to integration challenges or macro headwinds. The limited coverage (7 analysts) is typical for a large-cap stock, but the high conviction is notable.

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SNPS Technical Analysis

Synopsys is in a sustained downtrend, with the stock down 16.43% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $437.16 sits at 67% of its 52-week range (low $376.18, high $651.73), indicating the stock is closer to its lows than highs, suggesting a value opportunity but also reflecting persistent selling pressure. The 1-year price change of -16.43% contrasts sharply with the broader market, highlighting stock-specific weakness. Short-term momentum is mixed: the 1-month change is -14.00%, while the 3-month change is +10.41%, showing a recent bounce from March lows. The 1-month decline of -14.00% conflicts with the 3-month gain, suggesting the stock may be experiencing a temporary pullback within a broader recovery attempt. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is deeply negative at -12.75% over 1 month and -35.53% over 1 year, confirming persistent underperformance. Key support is at the 52-week low of $376.18, a break below which could signal further downside toward $350. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $651.73, and a breakout above that level would indicate a trend reversal. With a beta of 1.222, Synopsys is 22% more volatile than the market, meaning larger swings in both directions, which is important for risk management.

Beta

1.22

1.22x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-41.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$376-$652

Price range past year

Annual Return

-19.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodSNPS ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.7%+2.0%
3m+13.0%+10.6%
6m-15.6%+8.3%
1y-19.5%+20.4%
ytd-7.7%+10.2%

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SNPS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust but decelerating. In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY2026, ended January 31, 2026), revenue was $2.409 billion, up 65.5% year-over-year, driven by the Ansys acquisition. However, organic growth appears weaker, as highlighted by recent analyst commentary. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue accelerating from $1.455 billion in Q1 FY2025 to $2.409 billion in Q1 FY2026, but the acquisition masks organic trends. License and maintenance revenue of $951.5 million and technology services of $715.7 million indicate a diversified revenue base. Profitability metrics are mixed. Net income in Q1 FY2026 was $64.7 million, a sharp decline from $295.7 million in the year-ago quarter, resulting in a net margin of just 2.7% versus 20.3% a year ago. Gross margin remained strong at 73.5%, but operating margin compressed to 8.4% from 17.3%, reflecting higher costs from the Ansys integration. The company is still profitable, but margins have contracted significantly. The balance sheet is healthy. Debt-to-equity is 0.50, and the current ratio is 1.62, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) is $2.279 billion, providing ample cash for operations and investments. ROE is 4.7%, and ROA is 1.5%, reflecting lower profitability in the recent quarter. The company generates strong cash flow, with operating cash flow of $856.8 million in Q1 FY2026, supporting internal growth.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.4B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+65.52%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

73.54%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

License and Maintenance
License
Technology Service

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Valuation Analysis: Is SNPS Overvalued?

Since net income is positive ($64.7 million), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 55.82x, while the forward P/E is 25.33x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that earnings are expected to rebound sharply, likely from the Ansys acquisition synergies. Compared to the software industry average P/E of approximately 30x, Synopsys' trailing P/E of 55.82x represents an 86% premium, but the forward P/E of 25.33x is at a 16% discount, indicating that the market is pricing in a normalization of earnings. Historically, Synopsys' trailing P/E has ranged from 17.7x (Q4 FY2024) to 287.8x (Q1 FY2026), with the current 55.82x near the lower end of its recent range, suggesting the stock is not excessively overvalued relative to its own history. The P/S ratio of 10.30x is above the industry average of 8x, reflecting a premium for its market position.

PE

55.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 18x~288x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

33.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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