Sarcos
STRC
$91.79
-3.58%
Strategy Inc. operates a dual business model, functioning as both a Bitcoin treasury company and a provider of AI-powered enterprise analytics software. The company has established a distinct identity as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin exposure, offering various securities tied to the cryptocurrency, while its core software segment delivers business intelligence solutions via cloud subscriptions and licenses. The current investor narrative is dominated by extreme volatility and a crisis of confidence, following the company's decision to break its 'never sell' Bitcoin pledge to fund dividend payments, which has exposed the fundamental risks of its business model and triggered a significant stock collapse, as highlighted in recent news.…
STRC
Sarcos
$91.79
Related headlines
STRC 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Sarcos's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $119.33 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$119.33
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$73 - $119
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage appears to be minimal or inconsistent, as the provided data shows only 3 analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, but no consensus price target, recommendation, or Buy/Hold/Sell distribution is available. This indicates insufficient analyst coverage to derive a meaningful consensus, which is typical for a stock with such a unique and volatile profile; limited coverage can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock is driven more by sentiment toward Bitcoin and corporate actions than by fundamental research. Without a target range, the signal strength from the analyst community is weak; the wide dispersion in estimated EPS (from $341.6 to $421.3) among the few covering analysts further underscores the high uncertainty and modeling challenges posed by the company's Bitcoin-centric strategy and irregular financial results.
STRC Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having collapsed from its 52-week high. The current price of $94.8 represents a decline of 5.2% over the past month and positions the stock at just 47% of its 52-week range ($90.38 to $100.418), indicating it is trading much closer to its annual low than its high, which suggests deep investor pessimism and potential value trap characteristics rather than a clear opportunity. Recent momentum is decisively negative and diverges sharply from the broader market; the stock's 1-month decline of 5.2% and 3-month decline of 4.96% starkly contrast with the S&P 500's gains of -0.08% and 12.0% over the same periods, respectively, signaling severe underperformance and a breakdown in the Bitcoin-correlated trade. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $90.38 and resistance at the recent trading range ceiling near $100; a breakdown below $90.38 would signal a potential acceleration of the downtrend, while the stock's extreme beta of 3.471 indicates it is roughly 247% more volatile than the market, which demands outsized risk tolerance from any potential investor.
Beta
3.47
3.47x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$90-$100
Price range past year
Annual Return
—
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | STRC Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -7.5% | +1.5% |
| 3m | -7.8% | +13.4% |
| 6m | -6.2% | +10.9% |
| 1y | — | +24.5% |
| ytd | -7.9% | +10.0% |
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STRC Fundamental Analysis
The company's revenue trajectory is stagnant with significant volatility in profitability driven by Bitcoin accounting. The most recent quarterly revenue was $122.99 million, representing a modest year-over-year growth of 1.9%, but this masks the extreme instability in the core financials. Profitability is highly erratic and currently deeply negative, with the latest quarter posting a net income of -$12.62 billion and a net margin of -102.6%, though this figure is heavily distorted by non-cash Bitcoin impairment charges; the gross margin of 66.1% remains healthy for the software business, but operating expenses and other losses have completely overwhelmed it. The balance sheet and cash flow situation is precarious, with the company generating negative free cash flow of -$77.83 million over the trailing twelve months and an operating cash flow of -$21.63 million in the latest quarter, indicating it is burning cash and dependent on external financing or asset sales (as evidenced by the broken Bitcoin pledge) to fund operations, though a current ratio of 5.62 suggests ample short-term liquidity against liabilities.
Quarterly Revenue
$122989000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.01%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.66%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-77825000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is STRC Overvalued?
Given the deeply negative net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is an astronomical 93.6x, while the forward-looking metric is not explicitly provided, but analyst revenue estimates for the coming year average $476.4 million, which would imply a forward PS of approximately 93.8x based on the current market cap, indicating no expectation of multiple compression. Peer comparison is challenging due to the company's unique hybrid model, but a PS ratio near 94x is stratospherically high compared to typical software application companies, representing a massive premium that is entirely unjustified by its anemic 1.9% revenue growth, signaling the valuation is almost entirely a speculative bet on Bitcoin's price rather than the underlying software business. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has shown wild swings, from a low near 12x in late 2022 to a high over 938x in mid-2025; the current level of 93.6x is below its recent extreme peaks but remains exceptionally elevated, suggesting the market is still pricing in significant, albeit diminished, optionality on Bitcoin appreciation.
PE
-11.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -132x~51x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-9.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple
