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Targa Resources

TRGP

$259.68

-1.01%

Targa Resources Corp. is a major midstream energy company that operates gathering and processing assets, along with logistics and transportation infrastructure, primarily in key U.S. shale plays like the Permian Basin. The company is a significant player in the natural gas liquids (NGL) value chain, distinguished by its integrated system that includes fractionation capacity and an LPG export terminal. The current investor narrative is driven by the stock's strong performance and momentum, likely fueled by robust operational results, favorable energy market dynamics, and its strategic position in high-demand energy corridors, as evidenced by its substantial year-to-date price appreciation and consistent analyst endorsements.…

Should I buy TRGP
Bobby Quantitative Model
Jun 16, 2026

TRGP

Targa Resources

$259.68

-1.01%
Jun 16, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Targa Resources Corp. is a major midstream energy company that operates gathering and processing assets, along with logistics and transportation infrastructure, primarily in key U.S. shale plays like the Permian Basin. The company is a significant player in the natural gas liquids (NGL) value chain, distinguished by its integrated system that includes fractionation capacity and an LPG export terminal. The current investor narrative is driven by the stock's strong performance and momentum, likely fueled by robust operational results, favorable energy market dynamics, and its strategic position in high-demand energy corridors, as evidenced by its substantial year-to-date price appreciation and consistent analyst endorsements.
Should I buy TRGP

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TRGP 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $259.68
Average Target $259.68
High Target $298.632
Low Target $220.728

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Targa Resources's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $337.58 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$337.58

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$208 - $338

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Analyst sentiment is uniformly bullish, with six firms providing coverage and all recent institutional ratings—including from Truist, UBS, Mizuho, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley—being Buys, Outperforms, or Overweights, indicating strong consensus conviction. The average EPS estimate for the coming period is $17.50, with a wide range from a low of $13.54 to a high of $21.07, reflecting differing assumptions about commodity prices, volume growth, and margin performance; the high target assumes successful execution on growth projects and favorable market conditions, while the low target likely incorporates more conservative macro and operational factors. The wide dispersion in EPS estimates, coupled with the unanimous bullish ratings but lack of a specific price target in the provided data, suggests high confidence in the company's direction but significant uncertainty around the magnitude of future earnings, which is typical for a cyclical midstream operator.

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TRGP Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a 61.17% gain over the past year and a 48.81% increase over the last six months. As of the latest close at $272.60, TRGP is trading at approximately 97% of its 52-week high of $280.00, positioning it near peak momentum levels which suggests strong bullish sentiment but also raises concerns about potential overextension and vulnerability to a pullback. Recent momentum remains positive but shows signs of consolidation; the stock gained 3.54% over the past month and 13.56% over the past three months, with the 1-month performance decelerating from the explosive 6-month trend, indicating a possible pause or digestion of gains before the next directional move. Key technical levels are clear, with immediate resistance at the 52-week high of $280.00 and support at the 52-week low of $144.14; a decisive breakout above $280 would signal a continuation of the bull trend, while a failure could lead to a test of lower support levels. The stock's beta of 0.71 indicates it has been 29% less volatile than the broader market (SPY) over the measured period, which is notable given its strong absolute returns and suggests the rally has been relatively steady and less prone to sharp corrections typical of high-beta energy names.

Beta

0.71

0.71x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$144-$280

Price range past year

Annual Return

+51.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodTRGP ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.5%+1.5%
3m+11.0%+13.4%
6m+45.4%+10.9%
1y+51.4%+24.5%
ytd+39.0%+10.0%

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TRGP Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been volatile on a quarterly basis but shows underlying strength in its core segments; for Q4 2025, revenue was $4.06 billion, representing a -7.94% year-over-year decline, yet segment data reveals the high-margin Logistics and Transportation segment generated $3.41 billion, significantly outpacing the $1.60 billion from Gathering and Processing, indicating the downstream business is the primary revenue driver. Profitability is robust and improving, with Q4 2025 net income of $545 million and a gross margin of 43.1%, up sharply from the 26.5% trailing gross margin, demonstrating significant margin expansion and efficient cost management; the quarterly net income of $545 million also marks a substantial increase from $351 million in the year-ago quarter, highlighting a strong trajectory toward higher earnings. The balance sheet is leveraged but cash-generative, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.72 and a current ratio of 0.67, indicating significant financial leverage and modest short-term liquidity; however, the company generated robust free cash flow of $584.1 million (TTM) and an exceptionally high return on equity of 60.12%, showing it can service its debt and deliver strong returns to equity holders through its capital-intensive operations.

Quarterly Revenue

$4.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.07%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.43%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$584100000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Corporate Non Segment And Inter Segment Elimination
Gathering And Processing
Logistics And Transportation

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Valuation Analysis: Is TRGP Overvalued?

Given the positive net income of $545 million in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 21.51x, while the forward P/E is 22.15x; the minimal gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests the market is pricing in stable, but not accelerating, earnings growth expectations for the near term. Compared to sector averages, TRGP's trailing P/E of 21.51x trades at a premium to the typical midstream/energy infrastructure sector (often in the mid-teens), while its Price/Sales ratio of 2.31x and EV/EBITDA of 11.75x are also at the higher end of the range, indicating the market is awarding a premium for its growth profile and integrated asset base. Historically, the stock's current trailing P/E of 21.51x is above its own multi-year range observed in the historical data, which has fluctuated significantly from negative figures to over 655x during volatile periods; trading near the upper end of its historical valuation band suggests the market has priced in optimistic expectations for sustained profitability and growth, leaving limited room for multiple expansion and increasing sensitivity to any earnings disappointment.

PE

21.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -10x~655x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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