U.S. Bancorp
USB
$58.89
+1.90%
U.S. Bancorp is a major diversified financial services company operating as one of the largest regional banks in the United States, with a comprehensive suite of offerings including retail and commercial banking, credit cards, mortgages, payment services, and wealth management. The bank is a dominant player in its 26-state footprint, particularly in the Midwest and West, and is distinguished by its scale, with approximately $700 billion in assets, and its diversified revenue streams across consumer, business, and fee-based services. The current investor narrative centers on the bank's recovery and performance within a higher interest rate environment, its ability to manage credit quality and net interest margins, and its ongoing integration of technology to improve efficiency and customer offerings, as reflected in recent analyst upgrades and debates over its valuation relative to peers.…
USB
U.S. Bancorp
$58.89
Related headlines
USB 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on U.S. Bancorp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $76.56 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$76.56
2 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
2
covering this stock
Price Range
$47 - $77
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for U.S. Bancorp is limited in the provided dataset, with only 4 analysts contributing to estimates for revenue and EPS, indicating insufficient data to form a robust consensus on price targets or recommendation distribution. The lack of a populated analyst target price or buy/hold/sell breakdown in the data suggests limited visible institutional research coverage for the purposes of this analysis, which is unusual for a company of this market cap and may point to data gaps. Given the minimal analyst data, the target range and signal strength cannot be accurately quantified. The wide disparity in recent institutional rating actions—including a Buy from Truist Securities and an Underweight from JP Morgan in February 2026—highlights the ongoing debate and uncertainty surrounding the stock's outlook. This limited coverage and mixed signals can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the investment thesis is not being widely disseminated or debated by a broad analyst community. Investors should seek more comprehensive coverage data to gauge the full spectrum of institutional sentiment.
USB Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, evidenced by a 33.47% one-year price change, significantly outperforming the SPY's 22.86% gain. As of the latest close at $58.94, the stock is trading at approximately 96% of its 52-week high of $61.19, indicating strong momentum and positioning near the upper bound of its annual range, which suggests investor optimism but also raises concerns about potential overextension. The current price is well above the 52-week low of $42.55, representing a 38.5% premium to that support level, signaling a robust recovery from earlier lows. Recent short-term momentum is exceptionally strong and accelerating, with the stock posting an 11.76% gain over the past month and a 15.57% gain over the past three months, both figures outpacing the broader market (SPY changes of -0.08% and 12.0%, respectively). This positive divergence from the longer-term trend confirms the strength of the current uptrend, with the stock's relative strength over one month at 11.84, indicating significant outperformance. The price action shows a decisive move from a low near $51 in mid-March to the current level, suggesting a breakout from a consolidation phase. Key technical resistance is clearly defined at the 52-week high of $61.19, while major support resides at the 52-week low of $42.55. A successful breakout above $61.19 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend and potentially open the door to new highs, whereas a failure could lead to a retest of support levels established during the March consolidation near $51. The stock's beta of 0.999 indicates its volatility is nearly identical to the market, making it a core holding for investors seeking financial sector exposure without outsized volatility risk, which is notable given its recent strong price performance.
Beta
1.00
1.00x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-16.2%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$43-$61
Price range past year
Annual Return
+36.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | USB Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +10.9% | +1.5% |
| 3m | +14.8% | +13.4% |
| 6m | +9.3% | +10.9% |
| 1y | +36.5% | +24.5% |
| ytd | +9.2% | +10.0% |
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USB Fundamental Analysis
U.S. Bancorp's revenue trajectory shows steady, modest growth with a recent quarterly revenue of $10.98 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 2.93% year-over-year increase. Examining the quarterly trend, revenue has grown from $10.35 billion in Q1 2025 to the latest $10.98 billion, indicating a sequential acceleration through the year. Segment data, though not dated, highlights diversified drivers with Payment Services at $2.5 billion, Consumer and Small Business Banking at $2.17 billion, and the largest contributor, Wealth Management and Investment Services, at $3.09 billion, suggesting a balanced growth profile less reliant on pure net interest income. The company is solidly profitable, reporting net income of $2.05 billion for Q4 2025, with a net margin of 18.69%. Profitability has improved sequentially through 2025, with net income rising from $1.71 billion in Q1 to $2.05 billion in Q4. Gross margin for the latest quarter was a healthy 66.85%, and the operating margin was 23.08%, reflecting efficient operations. The trend shows margin expansion, as the net margin improved from 16.51% in Q1 2025 to 18.69% in Q4, signaling successful cost management and operating leverage. The balance sheet and cash flow position appear robust. The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, which is a manageable level for a bank, indicating a balanced use of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is a strong 11.62%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder capital. Most importantly, the company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $7.97 billion, providing ample internal resources to fund operations, pay its 4.22% dividend yield, and pursue strategic initiatives without excessive reliance on external financing.
Quarterly Revenue
$11.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.02%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.66%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$8.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is USB Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 10.95x, while the forward PE is slightly lower at 10.42x. The modest discount of the forward PE suggests the market anticipates stable, but not dramatically accelerating, earnings growth, aligning with the company's steady fundamental profile. Compared to industry averages, U.S. Bancorp's valuation appears mixed. Its trailing PE of 10.95x is below the typical range for high-growth sectors but reasonable for a large regional bank; however, a direct industry average PE is not provided in the data for a precise comparison. Its Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 1.94x and Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.27x are key bank metrics. The PB ratio of 1.27x suggests the market values the company at a 27% premium to its book value, which may be justified by its above-average ROE of 11.62% and stable profitability. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 10.95x sits below its own recent historical range observed in the data, which has seen peaks above 19x in late 2023 and lows near 8x in 2023. Compared to its PE of 11.22x at the end of 2024, the current multiple represents a slight compression. Trading near the middle-to-lower end of its own historical valuation band suggests the stock is not excessively priced and may offer value if the company's earnings growth and ROE trajectory are sustained, especially relative to the peak valuations seen during different interest rate environments.
PE
11.0x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 8x~20x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
Enterprise Value Multiple

