VF Corporation
VFC
$14.37
+3.01%
VF Corporation designs, produces, and distributes apparel, footwear, and accessories with a focus on active and outdoor brands, including Vans, The North Face, Timberland, and Altra. As a global leader in the apparel manufacturing industry, VF markets its products across the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific through wholesale, e-commerce, and branded stores. The current investor narrative centers on the company's turnaround efforts, with recent earnings showing a wider-than-expected loss and continued weakness at Vans, despite management raising guidance. This has sparked debate about the pace of recovery and the success of VF's brand portfolio transformation.…
VFC
VF Corporation
$14.37
Related headlines
Investment Opinion: Should I buy VFC Today?
Based on the analysis, VF Corporation is rated a Hold. The consensus recommendation is 'hold' with an average target price of $18.77, implying 30.6% upside, but the recent earnings miss and Vans weakness introduce significant uncertainty. The thesis is that VF is a turnaround play with potential for recovery, but the timing and magnitude are unclear, making it a wait-and-see situation.
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VFC 12-Month Price Forecast
The AI assessment is neutral with medium confidence. VF's valuation is attractive on forward earnings, but the company's fundamental performance is mixed, with weak revenue growth and persistent Vans issues. The wide analyst target range reflects high uncertainty, and the stock's technical trend is bearish. The stance would be upgraded to bullish if Vans shows signs of stabilization and revenue growth accelerates above 3%, or downgraded to bearish if the company reports another loss or Vans' decline worsens.
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on VF Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $18.77 and implied upside of +30.6% versus the current price.
Average Target
$18.77
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.6%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$13 - $40
Analyst target range
VF Corporation is covered by 21 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'hold' and a mean recommendation score of 2.52 (where 1 is strong buy and 5 is sell). The average target price is $18.77, implying approximately 30.6% upside from the current price of $14.37. The distribution of ratings includes a mix of buy, hold, and sell, with recent actions from firms like BTIG upgrading to Buy and Citigroup maintaining Neutral. The target price range is wide, from a low of $13.00 to a high of $40.00, indicating high uncertainty about the company's future. The high target assumes a successful turnaround with significant margin expansion and growth, while the low target reflects ongoing challenges at Vans and potential further deterioration. The wide spread suggests that analysts have divergent views on the timing and magnitude of VF's recovery.
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Bulls vs Bears: VFC Investment Factors
VF Corporation presents a classic turnaround story with both compelling value and significant risk. The bull case rests on a low forward PE, analyst upside, and improving gross margins, while the bear case is driven by persistent Vans weakness, high leverage, and a deteriorating stock price trend. Currently, the bearish evidence is stronger, as the company's core problem—Vans' decline—remains unresolved, and the recent earnings miss underscores execution risks. The most critical tension is whether VF can stabilize Vans and return to consistent profitability; if it does, the stock could re-rate significantly, but if not, further downside is likely. The wide analyst target range ($13-$40) reflects this uncertainty, making the stock a high-risk, high-reward proposition.
Bullish
- Forward PE at 10.7x vs industry discount: VF's forward PE of 10.7x is significantly below the industry average, suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery but at a discounted multiple. This implies potential upside if the turnaround gains traction, as the stock trades at a low earnings multiple relative to peers.
- Analyst average target implies 30.6% upside: The consensus average target price of $18.77 represents a 30.6% upside from the current price of $14.37. Even the low target of $13.00 is only 9.5% below current levels, indicating limited downside per analysts, while the high target of $40.00 suggests substantial upside if the turnaround succeeds.
- Gross margin expansion to 56.4%: In the latest quarter, gross margin improved to 56.4% from 53.4% a year ago, reflecting better cost management and product mix. This margin expansion is a positive sign for profitability, even as revenue growth remains modest.
- Positive free cash flow of $510 million: VF generated $510 million in trailing twelve-month free cash flow, providing financial flexibility to service debt and invest in brand revitalization. This cash generation supports the turnaround efforts and reduces bankruptcy risk.
Bearish
- Vans weakness persists, dragging results: The Active segment, primarily Vans, contributed only $589 million in revenue, and the brand's continued decline overshadowed the quarter. Vans' struggles are a major drag on overall performance, and there is no clear sign of stabilization.
- Wider-than-expected loss in Q4 FY2026: VF reported a net loss of $119 million and EPS of -$0.30 in the latest quarter, missing expectations. The loss was driven by weak demand and restructuring costs, raising concerns about the pace of the turnaround.
- High debt-to-equity ratio of 2.69: VF's debt-to-equity ratio of 2.69 indicates significant leverage, which increases financial risk. High interest expenses ($33.8 million in the quarter) could strain cash flow if earnings do not recover as expected.
- Stock near 52-week low, downtrend intact: The stock is trading at $14.37, only 10.6% above the 52-week low of $12.99, and has declined 35% from its 52-week high. The technical trend is bearish, with relative strength of -33.2% year-to-date, indicating persistent selling pressure.
VFC Technical Analysis
VF Corporation's stock is in a clear downtrend, with a 1-year price change of +10.3% masking significant recent weakness. The current price of $14.37 sits near the lower end of its 52-week range, at approximately 12% above the 52-week low of $12.99 and 35% below the 52-week high of $22.27. This positioning near the lows suggests bearish sentiment and potential value opportunity, but also risk of further downside if support fails. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 significantly, with relative strength of -10.2% over the past year and -33.2% year-to-date.
Beta
0.97
0.97x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$13-$22
Price range past year
Annual Return
+10.3%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | VFC Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -16.3% | +3.6% |
| 3m | -14.0% | +2.7% |
| 6m | -32.3% | +11.4% |
| 1y | +10.3% | +18.7% |
| ytd | -20.9% | +12.3% |
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VFC Fundamental Analysis
VF's revenue trajectory has been volatile, with the most recent quarter (Q4 FY2026, ending March 28, 2026) showing revenue of $2.166 billion, up 1.0% year-over-year. However, this growth is inconsistent, as the prior quarter (Q3 FY2026) saw revenue of $2.876 billion, and the company has experienced quarters of decline, such as Q1 FY2026 with revenue of $1.761 billion. The multi-quarter trend shows a mixed picture, with recent quarters benefiting from seasonal strength but overall growth stagnating. Segment data reveals that the Outdoor segment, which includes The North Face and Timberland, generated $1.340 billion in revenue, while the Active segment, including Vans, contributed $0.589 billion, indicating the Active segment's underperformance is a drag on overall growth.
Quarterly Revenue
$2.2B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
+1.0%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
56.4%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$510015000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is VFC Overvalued?
Given that VF's trailing twelve-month net income is positive (EPS of $0.04), the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE stands at 25.2x, while the forward PE is 10.7x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth. This gap suggests that investors are pricing in a recovery, but the high trailing multiple reflects current depressed earnings. Compared to the industry average, VF's forward PE of 10.7x is at a discount, but its PS ratio of 0.67x is below the sector average, indicating the stock is trading at a discount on sales as well. Historically, VF's PE has ranged from negative to over 60x, with the current trailing PE near the lower end of its historical band, suggesting the market is not pricing in optimistic expectations, but rather a cautious outlook.
PE
25.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 5x~38x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
Financial risks are elevated due to VF's high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.69, which amplifies the impact of interest expenses ($33.8 million in the latest quarter) on profitability. The company's inconsistent earnings, with a net loss of $119 million in Q4 FY2026, highlight the fragility of its recovery. While free cash flow of $510 million provides some cushion, the negative PEG ratio and reliance on cost cuts rather than revenue growth raise concerns about long-term financial health. Additionally, the payout ratio of 55% suggests dividend sustainability is at risk if earnings do not improve, potentially reducing income appeal.
