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Valmont Industries

VMI

$546.73

+1.16%

Valmont Industries is a global manufacturer serving infrastructure and agriculture markets through its two primary segments: Infrastructure (utility, solar, lighting, transportation, and telecommunications products and coatings services) and Agriculture (irrigation equipment, tubular products, and precision agriculture technology). As a diversified industrial conglomerate with a strong presence in both utility and agricultural end markets, Valmont benefits from secular trends in grid modernization, renewable energy infrastructure, and precision farming. The current investor narrative centers on the company's robust revenue growth driven by infrastructure spending and a recovery in agriculture, while margin expansion and free cash flow generation are key focal points following a period of operational restructuring.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

VMI

Valmont Industries

$546.73

+1.16%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Valmont Industries is a global manufacturer serving infrastructure and agriculture markets through its two primary segments: Infrastructure (utility, solar, lighting, transportation, and telecommunications products and coatings services) and Agriculture (irrigation equipment, tubular products, and precision agriculture technology). As a diversified industrial conglomerate with a strong presence in both utility and agricultural end markets, Valmont benefits from secular trends in grid modernization, renewable energy infrastructure, and precision farming. The current investor narrative centers on the company's robust revenue growth driven by infrastructure spending and a recovery in agriculture, while margin expansion and free cash flow generation are key focal points following a period of operational restructuring.

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VMI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $546.73
Average Target $546.73
High Target $628.74
Low Target $464.72

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Valmont Industries's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $710.75 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$710.75

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$437 - $711

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only one analyst provides estimates, with an average EPS estimate of $32.17 for the current year. The limited coverage implies Valmont is a mid-cap stock with moderate institutional interest, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The consensus from the few covering firms (JP Morgan Overweight, Stifel Buy, DA Davidson Neutral) leans bullish, but the lack of a broad consensus and price targets prevents a meaningful upside/downside calculation. Investors should monitor for additional analyst initiation or changes in coverage to gauge sentiment shifts.

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VMI Technical Analysis

Valmont is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price up 62.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $555.35 sits at 94.8% of its 52-week range ($326.22 to $585.71), indicating the stock is near its highs and reflecting strong momentum. This positioning near the top of the range suggests bullish sentiment but also raises caution about potential overextension. Short-term momentum remains positive, with a 1-month price change of +2.2% and a 3-month change of +37.8%, though the 1-month gain is modest relative to the 3-month surge, hinting at a deceleration in the pace of gains. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is exceptionally strong, with a 3-month relative strength of 24.3%, confirming the stock's leadership. The 52-week low of $326.22 provides a key support level, while the 52-week high of $585.71 acts as immediate resistance. A breakout above $585.71 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $326.22 would be a bearish reversal. With a beta of 1.33, Valmont is 33% more volatile than the market, meaning it amplifies market moves and requires careful risk management.

Beta

1.33

1.33x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$326-$586

Price range past year

Annual Return

+60.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVMI ReturnS&P 500
1m+2.5%+2.0%
3m+28.4%+10.6%
6m+28.5%+8.3%
1y+60.9%+20.4%
ytd+32.8%+10.2%

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VMI Fundamental Analysis

Valmont's revenue trajectory shows modest growth, with the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) at $1,038 million, up just 0.09% year-over-year from $1,037 million in Q4 2024. However, on a trailing twelve-month basis, revenue reached $4,108 million, with the Infrastructure segment contributing $819 million (79% of total) and Agriculture $223 million (21%). The near-flat YoY growth in the latest quarter suggests a deceleration from earlier periods, as Q1 2025 saw revenue of $969 million (up 0.9% YoY) and Q2 2025 revenue of $1,051 million (up 1.1% YoY). The company is profitable, with net income of $168 million in Q4 2025, yielding a net margin of 16.2%, a significant improvement from 7.5% in Q4 2024. Gross margin has been relatively stable around 30%, with Q4 2025 at 29.8% versus 30.2% in Q4 2024, while operating margin expanded to 11.9% from 11.6% a year ago, indicating improved cost control. The balance sheet is healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57 and a current ratio of 2.35, providing ample liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $385 million, representing a free cash flow yield of approximately 4.7% based on the current market cap. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 21.5%, reflecting strong profitability and efficient use of shareholder capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.09%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

29.80%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$385360000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Agriculture
Infrastructure

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Valuation Analysis: Is VMI Overvalued?

Since Valmont has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 23.3x, while the forward P/E is 21.6x, indicating the market expects earnings growth over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests a modest growth premium. Compared to the industry average P/E (data not provided), Valmont's P/E of 23.3x appears reasonable for a company with a net margin of 8.5% and ROE of 21.5%. Historically, Valmont's trailing P/E has ranged from 12.0x (Q4 2025) to 49.5x (Q4 2021), and the current 23.3x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. The P/B ratio of 5.0x is above the historical average, but the strong ROE justifies a premium book value multiple.

PE

23.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -55x~49x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

17.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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