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Ventas, Inc.

VTR

$91.74

-0.72%

Ventas, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns a diversified healthcare portfolio of nearly 1,400 properties across senior housing, medical office, hospitals, life science, and skilled nursing in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. As one of the largest healthcare REITs by market cap (~$43 billion), it distinguishes itself through its broad asset diversification and international presence. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strong operational recovery, with revenue growing 21.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter, driven by robust senior housing demand and strategic portfolio repositioning. Recent analyst upgrades and a 47% one-year stock price surge reflect growing confidence in Ventas's ability to sustain growth amid favorable demographic tailwinds.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

VTR

Ventas, Inc.

$91.74

-0.72%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Ventas, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns a diversified healthcare portfolio of nearly 1,400 properties across senior housing, medical office, hospitals, life science, and skilled nursing in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. As one of the largest healthcare REITs by market cap (~$43 billion), it distinguishes itself through its broad asset diversification and international presence. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strong operational recovery, with revenue growing 21.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter, driven by robust senior housing demand and strategic portfolio repositioning. Recent analyst upgrades and a 47% one-year stock price surge reflect growing confidence in Ventas's ability to sustain growth amid favorable demographic tailwinds.

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VTR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $91.74
Average Target $91.74
High Target $105.50
Low Target $77.98

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Ventas, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $119.26 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$119.26

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$73 - $119

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Ventas has coverage from 3 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $1.86 (range $1.78–$1.92), and the average revenue estimate is $8.68 billion (range $8.39–$8.91 billion). While explicit price targets are not provided, the consensus recommendation from major firms (JP Morgan Overweight, Mizuho Outperform, Citigroup Buy, RBC Outperform, Keybanc Overweight) indicates strong bullish sentiment. Based on the forward P/E of 109x and EPS of $1.86, the implied price target is approximately $203, suggesting over 100% upside from the current $92.52—though this seems aggressive and may reflect a target based on different metrics. The range of analyst actions shows no downgrades in the past year, with firms like Wells Fargo, Cantor Fitzgerald, and Scotiabank maintaining positive or neutral stances. The lack of explicit price targets and limited analyst count (3) is typical for a large-cap REIT, but the unanimous positive ratings signal high conviction. A wide spread in EPS estimates ($1.78–$1.92) indicates moderate uncertainty, but the consistent 'Overweight' ratings suggest analysts expect continued operational improvement and valuation re-rating.

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VTR Technical Analysis

Ventas is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price up 47.0% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $92.52 sits at 99.6% of its 52-week range ($62.06–$92.86), indicating the stock is near its highs and reflecting strong bullish momentum. This positioning suggests the market is pricing in continued positive fundamentals, though it also raises the risk of short-term overextension. Short-term momentum is accelerating, with the stock gaining 15.5% in the past month and 11.1% over three months, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of -1.25% and 13.56%. The 1-month relative strength of 16.7% versus the market confirms strong near-term buying pressure, while the 3-month relative strength of -2.5% hints at a slight divergence that may warrant caution. The 52-week high of $92.86 serves as immediate resistance; a breakout above this level would signal further upside potential, while the 52-week low of $62.06 provides a distant support floor. With a beta of 0.724, Ventas is less volatile than the broader market, meaning it tends to decline less during downturns but may lag in strong rallies—a characteristic that appeals to risk-averse investors.

Beta

0.72

0.72x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-12.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$62-$95

Price range past year

Annual Return

+46.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVTR ReturnS&P 500
1m+11.2%+2.0%
3m+8.0%+10.6%
6m+22.5%+8.3%
1y+46.2%+20.4%
ytd+18.6%+10.2%

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VTR Fundamental Analysis

Ventas's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.566 billion growing 21.7% year-over-year, up from 7.0% growth in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue reached approximately $5.83 billion, driven by strong performance in Senior Living Operations ($1.186 billion in the quarter) and Outpatient Medical & Research ($450 million). The triple-net leased properties segment contributed $133 million, showing stable cash flows. This accelerating growth is a key positive for the investment case, signaling successful portfolio optimization and demand recovery in senior housing. Profitability is improving but remains modest: net income for Q4 2025 was $70.2 million (net margin of 4.5%), compared to $56.8 million (4.4% margin) in Q4 2024. Gross margin turned negative at -136% due to a large non-cash impairment charge ($2.13 billion in cost of revenue), but operating margin improved to 13.0% from 15.2% a year ago. The company is profitable on an adjusted basis, with EBITDA of $557 million and an EBITDA margin of 35.5%. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06 and a current ratio of 0.96, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow for Q4 2025 was $368 million, bringing TTM FCF to $1.32 billion, which provides ample coverage for dividends ($226 million paid in Q4) and capital expenditures ($138 million). ROE stands at 2.0%, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the REIT model, but the consistent FCF generation supports financial stability.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+21.67%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

-135.99%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Senior Living Operations
Outpatient Medical And Research Portfolio
Triple Net Leased Properties

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Valuation Analysis: Is VTR Overvalued?

Since Ventas has positive net income (TTM net income of ~$251 million), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 140.7x, while the forward P/E is 109.3x, implying that earnings are expected to grow significantly—consistent with the 21.7% revenue growth and analyst EPS estimates of $1.86 for the next fiscal year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market is pricing in a 22% earnings improvement, which aligns with the growth narrative. Compared to the healthcare REIT industry average P/E of approximately 35x (based on sector data), Ventas trades at a 302% premium, reflecting its superior growth profile and diversified portfolio. However, the PEG ratio of 0.80 (based on forward earnings growth) suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, indicating that the high P/E may be justified by accelerating earnings. Historically, Ventas's trailing P/E has ranged from -125x (loss-making periods) to 345x over the past five years. The current 140.7x is elevated but not at the extreme highs seen in 2024 (345x), suggesting the market is optimistic but not excessively so. The price-to-book ratio of 2.81x is near the upper end of its historical range (1.55x–2.91x), implying that investors are paying a premium for the company's asset quality and growth prospects.

PE

140.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -302x~3195x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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