C. H. Robinson Worldwide
CHRW
$193.74
+1.38%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is a leading non-asset-based third-party logistics (3PL) provider operating in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. The company is a market leader in domestic freight brokerage, which constitutes the majority of its net revenue, complemented by significant air and ocean forwarding operations. The current investor narrative is dominated by a powerful cyclical recovery, as evidenced by its near-doubling stock price over the past year, but this is now juxtaposed against emerging structural threats, most notably the potential disruption from Amazon's reported entry into the 3PL space, which is creating significant debate about the long-term competitive landscape.…
CHRW
C. H. Robinson Worldwide
$193.74
CHRW 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on C. H. Robinson Worldwide's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $251.86 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$251.86
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$155 - $252
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for CHRW is limited, with only 7 analysts providing estimates, indicating it is a mid-cap stock with selective institutional interest. The consensus sentiment, inferred from recent institutional ratings, leans bullish, with firms like Evercore ISI, B of A Securities, Stifel, and Wells Fargo maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings as recently as Q1 2026. The average revenue estimate for the next period is $11.06 billion, with a wide range from a low of $10.55 billion to a high of $12.11 billion, reflecting significant uncertainty around the freight cycle and competitive dynamics. The wide target spread signals high uncertainty, with the high target likely assuming a successful navigation of competitive threats and a stronger-than-expected cyclical rebound, while the low target may price in market share loss and prolonged margin pressure.
CHRW Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a 91.96% gain over the past year. Currently trading at $184.59, it sits near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 91% of the way from its low of $92.36 to its high of $203.34, indicating strong momentum but also potential overextension. Recent momentum shows a deceleration from the longer-term trend, with the stock up 10.45% over the past month but only 2.76% over the past three months, suggesting a period of consolidation after the explosive rally. This divergence is further highlighted by a negative 3-month relative strength of -9.84 against the S&P 500, signaling recent underperformance. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $92.36, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $203.34; a decisive breakout above $203 would signal a resumption of the primary bull trend, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range could indicate a deeper correction. With a beta of 0.94, the stock exhibits slightly lower volatility than the broader market, which is notable given its significant price appreciation.
Beta
0.93
0.93x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$92-$203
Price range past year
Annual Return
+103.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CHRW Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +18.7% | -0.1% |
| 3m | +14.4% | +12.0% |
| 6m | +23.3% | +8.8% |
| 1y | +103.9% | +22.9% |
| ytd | +18.3% | +8.8% |
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CHRW Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth remains under pressure, with the most recent Q4 2025 revenue of $3.91 billion representing a 6.5% year-over-year decline, continuing a trend of contraction from the prior year's quarters. The company's core Transportation segment, representing over 90% of revenue, is the primary driver of this top-line weakness, reflecting a challenging freight rate environment. The company is profitable, posting Q4 net income of $136.3 million, translating to a net margin of 3.48%, which is an improvement from the 2.09% margin in Q3 2024. Gross margin for Q4 was 8.18%, showing stability but remaining compressed compared to the 8.62% gross margin in Q3 2025, indicating ongoing pressure on pricing power. The balance sheet and cash flow are strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88 indicating moderate leverage and a robust current ratio of 1.53 ensuring ample liquidity. The company generates significant free cash flow, with a trailing twelve-month FCF of $894.9 million, providing ample capital for shareholder returns and investments, supported by a high return on equity of 31.81%.
Quarterly Revenue
$3.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.06%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.08%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$894891000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is CHRW Overvalued?
Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is elevated at 32.93x, while the forward P/E is lower at 25.12x, indicating the market expects earnings growth to improve in the coming year. Compared to industry averages (data not available in the provided set), a precise sector premium cannot be quantified, but a trailing P/E in the low 30s is generally high for a logistics company, suggesting the market is pricing in a cyclical recovery. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has fluctuated significantly, from a low near 9.3x in mid-2022 to a high of 82.7x in late 2023. The current 32.93x multiple sits above the middle of this wide historical range, indicating the stock is not cheap on an absolute historical basis and that optimistic expectations for margin normalization and growth are already embedded in the price.
PE
32.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 9x~83x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
23.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple
