Dollar General
DG
$133.21
+1.49%
Dollar General Corp. is the largest dollar store operator in the United States, operating over 20,000 small-box discount stores across 48 states, offering consumables, seasonal items, home products, and apparel primarily in rural and low-income markets. The company holds a dominant position in the discount retail segment, competing with Walmart and Dollar Tree, and differentiates itself through its extreme value proposition and private label offerings. Currently, the stock is in focus as Dollar General navigates a challenging consumer environment, with recent earnings showing margin gains offset by weather and fuel cost pressures, while management signals slower growth ahead. Investors are debating the sustainability of its core low-income customer base amid economic uncertainty and the impact of inflation on discretionary spending.…
DG
Dollar General
$133.21
Related headlines
DG 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dollar General's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $138.93 and implied upside of +4.3% versus the current price.
Average Target
$138.93
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+4.3%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$90 - $176
Analyst target range
The analyst price targets range from a low of $90.00 to a high of $176.00, indicating a wide dispersion of expectations. The low target of $90.00 implies a downside of -32.4% from the current price, suggesting that some analysts see significant risks, such as continued margin pressure or a deterioration in the core customer's financial health. The high target of $176.00 implies an upside of +32.1%, reflecting optimism about the company's ability to execute on its growth initiatives and improve profitability. Recent institutional ratings have been largely neutral, with firms like Evercore ISI, Truist, and Citigroup maintaining 'Hold' or 'Neutral' stances, while Barclays remains 'Overweight'. This mixed sentiment, combined with the wide target range, indicates high uncertainty about Dollar General's future performance, likely due to the challenging retail environment and the company's exposure to low-income consumers.
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DG Technical Analysis
Dollar General's stock has exhibited a volatile but ultimately upward trend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +22.84%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +18.65% over the same period. The current price of $133.21 sits at approximately 84% of its 52-week range (between the low of $95.11 and high of $158.23), indicating a recovery from the lows but still below the highs. This positioning suggests the stock is in a recovery phase, having rebounded strongly from its May 2026 trough, yet it faces overhead resistance near the $158 level, which could cap further upside without a fundamental catalyst.
Beta
0.23
0.23x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-34.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$95-$158
Price range past year
Annual Return
+22.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | DG Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +4.9% | -0.4% |
| 3m | +28.5% | +4.5% |
| 6m | -9.0% | +13.9% |
| 1y | +22.8% | +19.0% |
| ytd | -2.6% | +12.9% |
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DG Fundamental Analysis
Dollar General's revenue growth has been modest but positive, with the most recent quarter (Q1 FY2026, ending May 1, 2026) reporting revenue of $10.79 billion, a 3.36% increase year-over-year. This growth rate is consistent with the prior quarter's 4.5% growth (Q4 FY2025) and represents a slight acceleration from the 2.1% growth seen in Q3 FY2025, indicating a stable but low-single-digit growth trajectory. The company's revenue mix is heavily weighted toward consumables (82% of sales), which provides defensive characteristics but limits higher-margin discretionary growth. The modest growth reflects a mature store base and intense competition, but the company continues to expand its footprint, with over 20,000 stores, and focuses on same-store sales improvements.
Quarterly Revenue
$10.8B
2026-05
Revenue YoY Growth
+3.4%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
31.6%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$2.9B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is DG Overvalued?
Given Dollar General's positive net income, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric. The trailing PE stands at 20.88x, while the forward PE is 16.12x, implying that the market expects earnings growth of approximately 29.5% over the next year. This gap suggests that analysts anticipate a significant earnings recovery, likely driven by margin expansion and cost controls, which is a positive signal for investors. The PEG ratio of 0.61x further indicates that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected growth rate, as a PEG below 1 typically suggests undervaluation.
PE
20.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 13x~28x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
14.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple
