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FTI Consulting

FCN

$151.10

+7.62%

FTI Consulting, Inc. is a global business advisory firm providing professional services across five segments: corporate finance, forensic and litigation consulting, economic consulting, technology, and strategic communications, primarily serving clients in the United States across diverse sectors. The company is a recognized leader in specialized consulting, particularly in corporate restructuring and litigation support, positioning itself as a go-to advisor for complex business challenges. The current investor narrative centers on a significant institutional bet signaling confidence in the stock's upside potential despite recent price weakness, juxtaposed against the company's delivery of record earnings, creating a debate between perceived undervaluation and the stock's underperformance relative to the broader market.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jun 26, 2026

FCN

FTI Consulting

$151.10

+7.62%
Jun 26, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
FTI Consulting, Inc. is a global business advisory firm providing professional services across five segments: corporate finance, forensic and litigation consulting, economic consulting, technology, and strategic communications, primarily serving clients in the United States across diverse sectors. The company is a recognized leader in specialized consulting, particularly in corporate restructuring and litigation support, positioning itself as a go-to advisor for complex business challenges. The current investor narrative centers on a significant institutional bet signaling confidence in the stock's upside potential despite recent price weakness, juxtaposed against the company's delivery of record earnings, creating a debate between perceived undervaluation and the stock's underperformance relative to the broader market.

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FCN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $151.10
Average Target $151.10
High Target $173.76
Low Target $128.44

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on FTI Consulting's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $196.43 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$196.43

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$121 - $196

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage for FCN appears limited, with data indicating only one analyst providing estimates, resulting in insufficient breadth to establish a meaningful consensus recommendation or price target. The single analyst estimates revenue of approximately $4.54 billion and EPS of $12.43 for the forthcoming period, but without a consensus target price or buy/hold/sell distribution, the sentiment signal is weak. The implications of minimal coverage are significant; it often denotes a mid-cap company with lower institutional interest, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock may be more driven by specific corporate events or insider/institutional actions rather than broad analyst scrutiny. The recent news of a major $183 million institutional investment despite the stock's decline could be a stronger signal of conviction than the sparse analyst ratings data.

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Drowning in data?

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FCN Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of -9.81% and a 6-month decline of -17.54%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 24.99% gain over the same period. With a current price of $145.58, the stock is trading at approximately 77% of its 52-week range ($140.84 to $189.30), positioning it closer to its yearly lows, which suggests a potential value opportunity but also reflects persistent selling pressure and negative market sentiment. Recent momentum remains weak and confirms the longer-term bearish trend, with the stock down 5.86% over the past month and 16.43% over the past three months, both figures starkly contrasting with the S&P 500's positive returns of 0.74% and 15.14%, respectively. This consistent underperformance indicates a lack of positive catalysts and strong negative relative strength, with the 1-month decline accelerating the 3-month loss, showing no signs of a near-term reversal. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $140.84, while resistance sits at the 52-week high of $189.30. A breakdown below the $140.84 support could trigger further selling, while a sustained move above it would be the first step toward stabilization. The stock's beta of -0.049 is highly unusual, suggesting its price movements have been largely uncorrelated and inversely related to the market over the measured period, which complicates traditional volatility assessment but highlights its idiosyncratic risk profile.

Beta

-0.05

-0.05x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$138-$189

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodFCN ReturnS&P 500
1m-2.1%-2.9%
3m-11.3%+15.0%
6m-13.9%+5.6%
1y-5.6%+19.1%
ytd-11.3%+6.9%

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FCN Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains positive but shows signs of sequential deceleration; Q4 2025 revenue was $990.75 million, representing a 10.71% year-over-year increase, yet this follows stronger growth in prior quarters of 2025 (Q1: $898.28M, Q2: $943.66M, Q3: $956.17M). The Corporate Finance segment is the primary growth driver, contributing $423.19 million in the latest period, though the multi-quarter trend indicates growth momentum may be plateauing. The company is profitable with a net income of $54.53 million in Q4 2025, but profitability has compressed from the $82.82 million reported in Q3 2025; the gross margin of 31.05% in Q4 is also down from 33.25% in Q3, indicating some margin pressure. The net margin for the quarter was 5.50%, and the trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 10.94%, reflecting the firm's ability to convert revenue to operating profit despite quarterly fluctuations. The balance sheet is healthy with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 and a strong current ratio of 1.56, indicating good liquidity. The company generates substantial cash flow, with free cash flow over the trailing twelve months at $166.58 million, providing internal funding for operations and share repurchases. Return on equity is a solid 15.62%, demonstrating efficient use of shareholder capital, though return on assets is a more modest 7.19%.

Quarterly Revenue

$990746000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.71%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

31.05%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$166577000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Corporate Finance Segment
Economic Consulting
Forensic And Litigation Consulting
Strategic Communications
Technology

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Valuation Analysis: Is FCN Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 20.52x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 13.06x, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests analysts are forecasting a substantial earnings increase, which aligns with the estimated EPS of $12.43 for the next period. Compared to sector averages, FCN's trailing P/E of 20.52x and forward P/E of 13.06x must be contextualized against industry peers, though specific industry average data is not provided in the valuation set; its price-to-sales ratio of 1.47x and EV/EBITDA of 13.40x offer additional cross-metric perspectives. Historically, the stock's own valuation has compressed; its current trailing P/E of 20.52x is below the higher end of its recent historical range seen in late 2024 (e.g., 33.84x at the end of 2024) but above the lows from mid-2023. Trading near the middle of its own historical band suggests the market has priced out previous optimism but does not yet reflect deep value, pending confirmation of the anticipated earnings acceleration implied by the forward P/E.

PE

20.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 15x~35x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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