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Alphabet Inc.

GOOGL

$357.18

-0.48%

Alphabet Inc. is a holding company that wholly owns Google, deriving nearly 90% of its revenue from advertising through Google Search, YouTube, and the Google Network, while also operating in cloud computing and emerging technologies like self-driving cars (Waymo) and health (Verily). As the dominant player in digital advertising and a top-three cloud provider, Alphabet's competitive moat is built on its unparalleled data assets, AI capabilities, and massive scale. The current investor narrative centers on Alphabet's AI transformation, with Google Cloud accelerating growth and AI integration across search and YouTube driving revenue, while regulatory overhangs and competition from Microsoft and Meta in cloud and AI remain key debates.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 10, 2026

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

$357.18

-0.48%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company that wholly owns Google, deriving nearly 90% of its revenue from advertising through Google Search, YouTube, and the Google Network, while also operating in cloud computing and emerging technologies like self-driving cars (Waymo) and health (Verily). As the dominant player in digital advertising and a top-three cloud provider, Alphabet's competitive moat is built on its unparalleled data assets, AI capabilities, and massive scale. The current investor narrative centers on Alphabet's AI transformation, with Google Cloud accelerating growth and AI integration across search and YouTube driving revenue, while regulatory overhangs and competition from Microsoft and Meta in cloud and AI remain key debates.

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GOOGL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $357.18
Average Target $357.18
High Target $410.76
Low Target $303.60

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Alphabet Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $464.33 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$464.33

16 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

16

covering this stock

Price Range

$286 - $464

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (25%)
Hold
8 (50%)
Sell
4 (25%)

Alphabet is covered by 16 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of Buy (no holds or sells in the recent ratings data). The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $24.13 for the next fiscal year and a forward P/E of 24.7x, the implied target is approximately $596, representing 65% upside from the current price of $359.91. The consensus leans strongly bullish, with recent upgrades from Wells Fargo (Overweight) and maintained Buy ratings from Needham, Citigroup, and Stifel. The high target of $27.12 EPS implies a price of $670, while the low target of $21.73 EPS implies $537, suggesting a wide range but all above current levels, indicating high conviction in Alphabet's growth story.

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GOOGL Technical Analysis

Alphabet is in a strong uptrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +101.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1%. The stock currently trades at $359.91, which is 88% of its 52-week range (low $172.77, high $408.61), indicating it is near the upper end but not at resistance, suggesting sustained momentum without overextension. The 52-week high of $408.61 was set in May 2026, and the stock has since pulled back about 12%, but remains well above its 52-week low, reflecting a healthy consolidation within an uptrend.

Beta

1.25

1.25x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-20.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$176-$409

Price range past year

Annual Return

+101.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGOOGL ReturnS&P 500
1m+0.2%+4.1%
3m+12.6%+11.1%
6m+8.7%+8.8%
1y+101.1%+20.6%
ytd+13.3%+10.7%

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GOOGL Fundamental Analysis

Alphabet's revenue trajectory is robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $113.9 billion, up 18.1% year-over-year, accelerating from 14.3% growth in Q4 2024. The growth is driven by Google Search & Other ($63.1B), YouTube Ads ($11.3B), and Google Cloud ($17.6B), which grew 34% year-over-year, while the Google Network segment declined. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $34.5 billion and a gross margin of 59.8%, which has expanded from 57.9% a year ago, reflecting operating leverage. Operating margin improved to 31.6% from 32.1% in Q4 2024, indicating stable profitability despite heavy investment in AI infrastructure.

Quarterly Revenue

$113.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+18.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

59.82%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$73.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Google Network
Google Search & Other
YouTube Advertising Revenue
Google Inc.
Google Cloud
Other Bets

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Valuation Analysis: Is GOOGL Overvalued?

Since Alphabet has positive net income, we use the P/E ratio as the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/E is 28.7x, while the forward P/E is 24.7x, implying the market expects earnings growth of about 16% over the next year, consistent with analyst estimates. Compared to the Communication Services sector average P/E of 22x, Alphabet trades at a 30% premium, justified by its superior growth (18% revenue growth vs. sector average of 10%) and dominant market position. Historically, Alphabet's trailing P/E of 28.7x is near the middle of its 5-year range of 20x to 35x, suggesting the stock is fairly valued relative to its own history, with room for multiple expansion if AI monetization accelerates.

PE

28.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 14x~28x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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