C3.ai
AI
$10.46
-4.04%
C3.ai, Inc. is an enterprise artificial intelligence software company that provides a suite of SaaS applications and a platform for developing, deploying, and operating large-scale AI applications across various industries. The company operates in the competitive AI software market, differentiating itself with its end-to-end platform, pre-built industry applications, and generative AI solutions. Currently, the stock is under scrutiny due to a recent CEO change, persistent operating losses, and intense competition, which have overshadowed its Q4 earnings beat and restructuring efforts. Investors are debating whether the company can execute on its turnaround strategy and capitalize on the growing demand for enterprise AI, making it a high-risk, high-reward speculative investment.…
AI
C3.ai
$10.46
Related headlines
AI 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on C3.ai's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $8.82 and implied upside of -15.7% versus the current price.
Average Target
$8.82
0 analysts
Implied Upside
-15.7%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$6 - $15
Analyst target range
C3.ai is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'hold' and a mean rating of 3.5 (where 1 is strong buy and 5 is sell). The average price target is $8.82, which implies a downside of -15.7% from the current price of $10.46. The distribution of ratings is not provided, but the hold consensus suggests a neutral stance, with analysts seeing limited upside potential. The low target is $6.00, reflecting bearish scenarios of continued losses and competitive pressures, while the high target is $15.00, implying optimism about a successful turnaround and AI adoption. The wide range between low and high targets indicates high uncertainty about the company's future, and the recent CEO change and operational challenges have likely led to a cautious outlook. The stock's beta of 2.09 indicates high volatility, and the short ratio of 9.65 suggests significant bearish sentiment, with many investors betting against the stock.
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AI Technical Analysis
C3.ai's stock is in a pronounced downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -32.34%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +18.65% gain. The current price of $10.46 sits at approximately 21.5% of its 52-week range (between $7.675 and $20.22), indicating it is near the lower end of its yearly range. This positioning suggests the stock is in a bearish phase, with sellers dominating, and the price action reflects a lack of investor confidence despite a recent bounce from the lows.
Beta
2.09
2.09x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$8-$20
Price range past year
Annual Return
-32.3%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | AI Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +5.5% | -0.4% |
| 3m | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 6m | +13.8% | +13.9% |
| 1y | -32.3% | +19.0% |
| ytd | -23.9% | +12.9% |
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AI Fundamental Analysis
C3.ai's revenue trajectory has been challenging, with the most recent quarterly revenue data not available, but the company's estimated revenue for the next fiscal year is $1.68 billion, implying a significant growth rate from prior years. However, the company is not yet profitable, with a net margin of -187.9% and an operating margin of -194.9%, indicating that costs far exceed revenue. The gross margin is 30.9%, which is low for a software company, suggesting high cost of goods sold or significant investments in delivery. The company's losses are narrowing, as evidenced by the improving EPS from -0.38 in the last reported quarter, but the path to profitability remains uncertain.
Quarterly Revenue
N/A
N/A
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months
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Valuation Analysis: Is AI Overvalued?
Given that C3.ai has negative net income, the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric, and it stands at 4.96x, which is high for a company with negative margins. The forward PE is -21.37x, but this is not meaningful due to expected losses. The EV/Sales ratio is 4.7x, slightly lower than the PS ratio, reflecting the company's minimal debt. Compared to the software industry average PS ratio of around 8x, C3.ai trades at a discount, but this is justified by its poor profitability and growth concerns. Historically, C3.ai's PS ratio has been much higher, often above 20x, so the current multiple is near the lower end of its historical range, indicating that the market has significantly de-rated the stock due to operational issues.
PE
-2.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-2.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple
