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Baxter International

BAX

$22.46

+2.18%

Baxter International Inc. is a global healthcare company that manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of medical supplies and equipment, including injectable therapies, IV pumps, nutritional products, surgical sealants, and hospital beds, serving hospitals and care providers worldwide. Following its acquisition of Hillrom in late 2021 and the divestiture of its kidney care business in early 2025, Baxter has repositioned itself as a focused acute-care and hospital products company, competing against diversified med-tech peers. The current investor narrative centers on Baxter's operational turnaround after a period of weak profitability and disappointing 2026 earnings guidance, with attention on margin recovery, the impact of manufacturing disruptions in Europe, and the potential for cost headwinds from rising petrochemical prices amid geopolitical tensions.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

BAX

Baxter International

$22.46

+2.18%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Baxter International Inc. is a global healthcare company that manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of medical supplies and equipment, including injectable therapies, IV pumps, nutritional products, surgical sealants, and hospital beds, serving hospitals and care providers worldwide. Following its acquisition of Hillrom in late 2021 and the divestiture of its kidney care business in early 2025, Baxter has repositioned itself as a focused acute-care and hospital products company, competing against diversified med-tech peers. The current investor narrative centers on Baxter's operational turnaround after a period of weak profitability and disappointing 2026 earnings guidance, with attention on margin recovery, the impact of manufacturing disruptions in Europe, and the potential for cost headwinds from rising petrochemical prices amid geopolitical tensions.

Related headlines

Bearish
Baxter Stock Falls on Drug Supply Crunch and Weak Guidance
Bearish
Baxter International Stock Plunges 17% on Earnings Disappointment
Bearish
Baxter Stock Plunges 16% on Disappointing 2026 Outlook

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BAX 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $22.46
Average Target $22.46
High Target $25.83
Low Target $19.09

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Baxter International's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $29.20 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$29.20

8 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

8

covering this stock

Price Range

$18 - $29

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (25%)
Hold
4 (50%)
Sell
2 (25%)

Baxter is covered by 8 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning neutral (mix of Hold/Neutral and Overweight ratings). The average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $2.15 and a forward P/E of 11.25x, the implied target is approximately $24.19, offering about 6.8% upside from the current price of $22.65. The consensus is cautiously optimistic, with several firms maintaining Neutral ratings (Citigroup, Goldman Sachs) and one Overweight (Barclays), while Morgan Stanley is Underweight. The range of EPS estimates ($1.99 to $2.31) implies a target price range of $22.36 to $25.99, suggesting moderate conviction. The wide spread reflects uncertainty around Baxter's margin recovery and the impact of manufacturing disruptions, with the low end pricing in continued operational challenges and the high end assuming successful turnaround execution.

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BAX Technical Analysis

Baxter's stock is in a sustained downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -27.24%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +19.1% gain. The current price of $22.65 sits at 42.7% of its 52-week range (52-week low: $15.73, high: $31.15), indicating the stock is closer to its low than its high. This positioning near the lower end of the range suggests the market has priced in significant pessimism, but also leaves room for a potential recovery if fundamentals improve. The stock's beta of 0.613 implies it is less volatile than the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also means it may lag during broad market rallies.

Beta

0.61

0.61x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-50.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$16-$31

Price range past year

Annual Return

-24.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBAX ReturnS&P 500
1m+12.1%+2.0%
3m+31.0%+10.6%
6m+6.6%+8.3%
1y-24.7%+20.4%
ytd+15.2%+10.2%

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BAX Fundamental Analysis

Baxter's revenue trajectory shows modest growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $2.974 billion representing 8.03% YoY growth. However, the multi-quarter trend reveals deceleration: Q1 2025 revenue was $2.625 billion, Q2 $2.810 billion, Q3 $2.835 billion, and Q4 $2.974 billion, indicating a gradual recovery but still below pre-pandemic levels. The company's revenue segments are led by Medical Products and Therapies ($1.388 billion), Healthcare Systems and Technologies ($827 million), and Pharmaceuticals ($668 million), with the latter facing a manufacturing disruption in Europe that could pressure near-term sales. The growth trajectory is positive but fragile, and the investment case hinges on Baxter's ability to sustain this momentum while navigating operational headwinds.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+8.03%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

19.40%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$323000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Healthcare Systems and Technologies
Medical Products And Therapies
Pharmaceuticals

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Valuation Analysis: Is BAX Overvalued?

Given Baxter's negative net income (TTM net income of -$1.128 billion in Q4 2025), the P/E ratio is not meaningful, so we use the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio as the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/S ratio is 0.87x, while the forward P/S (based on estimated revenue of $11.89 billion) is approximately 0.82x, implying a slight discount to trailing. This gap suggests the market expects revenue growth but remains cautious on profitability. Compared to the industry average P/S of 1.2x (estimated), Baxter trades at a 27.5% discount, which may reflect its weak margins and recent losses. Historically, Baxter's P/S ratio has ranged from 3.3x (Q4 2025) to 14.5x (Q1 2021), and the current 0.87x is near the bottom of its historical band, indicating deep value territory but also potential fundamental deterioration.

PE

-10.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -64x~149x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

23.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Related headlines

Bearish
Baxter Stock Falls on Drug Supply Crunch and Weak Guidance
Bearish
Baxter International Stock Plunges 17% on Earnings Disappointment
Bearish
Baxter Stock Plunges 16% on Disappointing 2026 Outlook

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