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Baker Hughes

BKR

$57.25

+1.21%

Baker Hughes Company is a global energy technology and industrial services provider operating through two segments: Oilfield Services and Equipment (OFSE), which supplies drilling, evaluation, completion, and production services to hydrocarbon developers including national oil companies and majors, and Industrial and Energy Technology (IET), which manufactures turbines, compressors, pumps, valves, and related testing and monitoring solutions for energy and industrial applications. As one of the 'Big Three' oilfield services players alongside SLB and Halliburton, Baker Hughes is distinct for its dual identity — a cyclical oilfield services franchise paired with a more stable industrial technology business that gives it meaningful exposure to LNG infrastructure, power generation, and the energy transition. The current investor narrative is centered on portfolio simplification and capital returns: the company recently agreed to sell its non-core Waygate Technologies unit for $1.45 billion to sharpen focus on core operations, while management has flagged that a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure could keep a persistent risk premium embedded in energy markets through the second half of 2026. At the same time, Baker Hughes is positioning itself for emerging growth vectors such as underground hydrogen storage through a memorandum of understanding with Vallourec, reinforcing the debate over whether it is a defensive industrial compounder or a leveraged energy-cycle play.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Sep 18, 2026

BKR

Baker Hughes

$57.25

+1.21%
Sep 18, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Baker Hughes Company is a global energy technology and industrial services provider operating through two segments: Oilfield Services and Equipment (OFSE), which supplies drilling, evaluation, completion, and production services to hydrocarbon developers including national oil companies and majors, and Industrial and Energy Technology (IET), which manufactures turbines, compressors, pumps, valves, and related testing and monitoring solutions for energy and industrial applications. As one of the 'Big Three' oilfield services players alongside SLB and Halliburton, Baker Hughes is distinct for its dual identity — a cyclical oilfield services franchise paired with a more stable industrial technology business that gives it meaningful exposure to LNG infrastructure, power generation, and the energy transition. The current investor narrative is centered on portfolio simplification and capital returns: the company recently agreed to sell its non-core Waygate Technologies unit for $1.45 billion to sharpen focus on core operations, while management has flagged that a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure could keep a persistent risk premium embedded in energy markets through the second half of 2026. At the same time, Baker Hughes is positioning itself for emerging growth vectors such as underground hydrogen storage through a memorandum of understanding with Vallourec, reinforcing the debate over whether it is a defensive industrial compounder or a leveraged energy-cycle play.

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BKR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $57.25
Average Target $57.25
High Target $65.84
Low Target $48.66

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Baker Hughes's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $72.30 and implied upside of +26.3% versus the current price.

Average Target

$72.30

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+26.3%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

—

covering this stock

Price Range

$51 - $85

Analyst target range

Coverage is robust with 23 analysts, and sentiment is clearly bullish: the consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a recommendation mean of 1.71 (where 1.0 is a strong buy and 5.0 is a strong sell), placing it firmly in buy territory. The average price target is $72.09, which implies approximately 22.1% upside from the current price of $59.06 — a compelling return potential that suggests analysts view the recent pullback as an attractive entry point rather than a deterioration in fundamentals. The consensus leans bullish, supported by the estimated EPS average of $5.24 (range $4.99 to $5.39) and estimated revenue average of $38.89 billion (range $37.45 billion to $39.77 billion), indicating expectations for continued modest growth. The target range is wide, spanning from a low of $51.00 to a high of $85.00 — a spread of $34.00, or roughly 58% of the average target — which signals meaningful disagreement among analysts about the company's trajectory. The high target of $85.00 implies roughly 44% upside and likely assumes multiple expansion, successful portfolio simplification (including the Waygate divestiture), accelerating LNG and industrial technology demand, and a favorable energy price environment; the low target of $51.00 implies about 14% downside and likely prices in margin compression, weaker oilfield services demand, or a broader energy capex slowdown. Recent institutional ratings show a mix of reaffirmations rather than dramatic shifts: Piper Sandler maintained Overweight on July 14, Susquehanna and Citigroup reiterated Positive and Buy respectively on July 8, and TD Cowen kept Buy on July 2, while Barclays downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight on May 8 — a notable cautionary signal. The wide target spread combined with the recent Barclays downgrade suggests elevated uncertainty, and the stock's 4.19 short ratio indicates that short sellers are not aggressively positioned against it, which is a mildly supportive signal for the bulls.

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Bulls vs Bears: BKR Investment Factors

The bull case rests on BKR's dramatic margin expansion, conservative balance sheet, and a consensus buy rating with 22% upside to the average target. The bear case highlights decelerating revenue growth, a premium valuation versus peers, and recent technical weakness that has led to underperformance. Currently, the bull evidence appears stronger, supported by the 14.12% net margin in Q1 2026 (up from 6.25% a year ago) and the $14.76 billion cash position, but the premium multiple and low growth are valid concerns. The single most important tension is whether BKR can sustain its margin expansion and justify its premium valuation if revenue growth remains in the low single digits. If margins hold and the Waygate divestiture is redeployed accretively, the stock could re-rate; if margins compress or energy capex slows, the premium could unwind.

Bullish

  • Analyst consensus buy with 22% upside: 23 analysts rate BKR a 'buy' with a mean recommendation of 1.71 and an average price target of $72.09, implying 22.1% upside from the current $59.06. The high target of $85.00 suggests 44% upside if portfolio simplification and LNG demand accelerate.
  • Dramatic margin expansion and earnings growth: Q1 2026 net income surged to $930 million (14.12% net margin) from $402 million (6.25% net margin) a year earlier, despite revenue growing only 2.49% YoY. This demonstrates strong operating leverage and cost control, with EBITDA margin at 26.02%.
  • Conservative balance sheet with ample liquidity: Debt-to-equity is just 0.379 and the current ratio is 1.357, providing financial flexibility. The company ended Q1 2026 with $14.76 billion in cash after a $9.885 billion debt repayment, and it returned $228 million in dividends with a sustainable 35.16% payout ratio.
  • Portfolio simplification unlocking value: The $1.45 billion sale of non-core Waygate Technologies sharpens focus on core OFSE and IET businesses. This follows a $13.81 billion acquisition inflow in Q1 2026, signaling active portfolio management that could drive multiple expansion.

Bearish

  • Revenue growth decelerating to low single digits: Q1 2026 revenue grew only 2.49% YoY to $6.587 billion, and sequential revenue has declined from $7.386 billion in Q4 2025 to $7.010 billion in Q3 2025 to $6.587 billion in Q1 2026. This deceleration suggests a mature business with limited top-line momentum.
  • Premium valuation versus peers: BKR trades at a forward PE of 18.99x, a roughly 25-90% premium to SLB and Halliburton, which typically trade in the 10x-15x forward PE range. This premium leaves little room for error if energy capex slows or margin expansion stalls.
  • Recent technical deterioration and underperformance: The stock is down 8.12% over the past month and 6.46% over three months, underperforming SPY by 7.06 and 9.50 percentage points respectively. The recent 7% two-day drop on elevated volume of 10.19 million shares signals distribution pressure.
  • Wide analyst target dispersion and a recent downgrade: The target range spans $51 to $85, a 58% spread around the average, indicating significant disagreement. Barclays downgraded BKR to Equal Weight from Overweight on May 8, 2026, a cautionary signal amid elevated uncertainty.

BKR Technical Analysis

Baker Hughes is in a broad recovery uptrend that has stalled in recent months, with the stock up 25.74% over the past year and 25.29% year-to-date, though it has pulled back to $59.06 from its 52-week high of $70.41. At the current price, BKR is trading at approximately 57% of its 52-week range (calculated as ($59.06 - $43.92) / ($70.41 - $43.92)), positioning it in the middle-upper portion of its annual band — not extended near highs, but well above the lows, suggesting a consolidating uptrend rather than a momentum breakout or a falling knife. The 52-week low of $43.92 implies roughly 26% downside to the floor, while the high of $70.41 implies about 19% upside to the ceiling, framing a roughly balanced risk-reward within the established range. Short-term momentum has deteriorated sharply and diverges from the longer-term trend: the stock is down 8.12% over the past month and 6.46% over three months, even as it remains up 8.85% over six months and 25.74% over a year. This divergence — positive 1-year but negative 1-month and 3-month — signals a meaningful correction within an intact uptrend, and the relative strength figures confirm the underperformance: BKR trails SPY by 7.06 percentage points over one month and 9.50 points over three months, despite outperforming by 9.52 points over one year. The recent slide from $63.64 on September 9 to $59.06 on September 11 (a roughly 7% two-day drop) on elevated volume of 10.19 million shares suggests distribution pressure that warrants caution until price stabilizes. Key technical levels are clearly defined: support sits at the 52-week low of $43.92, with intermediate support likely near the July trough around $52.78, while resistance is anchored at the 52-week high of $70.41, with the recent $64.90 area (August highs) acting as nearer-term overhead supply. A breakout above $70.41 would confirm trend resumption and likely open a new leg higher, whereas a breakdown below the $52.78 July low would threaten the recovery structure and put the $43.92 floor in play. With a beta of 0.961, BKR is slightly less volatile than the broader market — roughly 4% less volatile than SPY — meaning position sizing can be somewhat more aggressive than for a high-beta energy name, though the 24.24% max drawdown underscores that this is still a cyclical stock capable of sharp reversals.

Beta

0.96

0.96x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$44-$70

Price range past year

Annual Return

+21.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBKR ReturnS&P 500
1m-11.2%-1.0%
3m-2.0%+2.0%
6m-5.1%+17.4%
1y+21.1%+15.0%
ytd+21.4%+11.7%

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BKR Fundamental Analysis

Baker Hughes' revenue trajectory is modestly growing but decelerating, with Q1 2026 revenue of $6.587 billion representing 2.49% year-over-year growth versus Q1 2025's $6.427 billion. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential softness: revenue declined from $7.386 billion in Q4 2025 to $7.010 billion in Q3 2025 to $6.587 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting the seasonal Q1 dip and a tougher demand backdrop. Segment data shows a near-even split between Industrial and Energy Technology at $3.35 billion and Oilfield Services and Equipment at $3.237 billion, meaning the industrial side is now the larger contributor — a notable shift that provides diversification but also exposes the company to industrial capex cycles rather than pure upstream oil and gas spending. The growth rate in the low single digits implies a mature, cash-generative business rather than a high-growth story, making margin expansion and capital returns the primary value drivers. Profitability is solid and improving: Q1 2026 net income was $930 million on a 14.12% net margin, up from $402 million and a 6.25% net margin in Q1 2025, a dramatic year-over-year improvement. Gross margin came in at 22.83% in Q1 2026, slightly below the 23.73% in Q4 2025 but above the 22.95% in Q1 2025, while operating margin of 12.28% and EBITDA of $1.714 billion (26.02% EBITDA margin) reflect healthy operating leverage. The trailing net margin of 9.33% and operating margin of 12.83% are consistent with the capital-intensive oilfield services industry, where mid-teens operating margins are competitive; the improvement in net income despite flat revenue signals effective cost control and a favorable mix shift. The balance sheet is conservatively managed with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.379 and a current ratio of 1.357, indicating ample liquidity and modest leverage. Free cash flow on a trailing basis is $2.292 billion, though Q1 2026 free cash flow was only $164 million (operating cash flow of $500 million less $336 million capex), a seasonal low that reflects working capital swings. ROE of 13.74% and ROA of 4.85% are respectable for the sector, and the company returned capital via $228 million in dividends in Q1 2026 while maintaining a payout ratio of 35.16% and a dividend yield of 2.02%. The Q1 2026 cash flow statement shows a large $9.885 billion debt repayment alongside $13.81 billion in acquisition inflows and a $11.049 billion net change in cash, ending with $14.764 billion in cash — a liquidity position that provides substantial flexibility for future M&A, buybacks, or debt reduction.

Quarterly Revenue

$6.6B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+2.5%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

22.8%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Industrial And Energy Technology
Oilfield Services And Equipment

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Valuation Analysis: Is BKR Overvalued?

Because Baker Hughes is profitable — Q1 2026 net income of $930 million and trailing EPS of $0.0575 (reflecting the low trailing figure) — the PE ratio is the appropriate primary metric, and the trailing PE of 17.38x versus the forward PE of 18.99x presents an unusual inversion where the forward multiple exceeds the trailing. This inversion implies the market expects near-term earnings to be roughly flat or slightly lower before re-accelerating, or that the trailing figure is distorted by one-time items; with analyst estimated EPS averaging $5.24 for the forward period, the forward PE of 18.99x is the more economically meaningful figure and suggests the market is pricing in modest growth rather than a re-rating. On a price-to-sales basis, BKR trades at 1.62x, and its EV/EBITDA of 11.30x and EV/Sales of 2.11x provide additional context for a capital-intensive industrial. Relative to the broader oilfield services and energy equipment sector, where peers like SLB and Halliburton typically trade in the 10x-15x forward PE range, BKR's 18.99x forward PE represents a premium of roughly 25-90% depending on the peer — a premium that is arguably justified by its larger industrial technology mix, lower beta (0.961), and stronger balance sheet (debt-to-equity of 0.379), but one that leaves less room for error if energy capex slows. The price-to-book ratio of 2.39x and price-to-cash-flow of 11.81x are moderate, while the negative PEG ratio of -1.37 reflects the trailing earnings distortion rather than a genuine growth problem. Historically, BKR's PE ratio has ranged widely: it was 16.24x in Q1 2026, 12.79x in Q4 2025, 19.65x in Q3 2025, and 26.80x in Q1 2025, with the current 17.38x sitting in the middle of that band and well below the 26.80x seen a year ago. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.62x is notably below the 5.0x-9.2x range seen in the historical ratios data (though those figures appear to use different share-count conventions), and the price-to-book of 2.39x is near the middle of its historical 1.45x-3.13x range. Overall, the valuation is neither stretched nor deeply discounted — it reflects a fairly priced, mature industrial with modest growth, and the market appears to be pricing in stable execution rather than dramatic upside.

PE

17.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 9x~27x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Financial and operational risks center on BKR's modest revenue growth and potential margin pressure. Q1 2026 revenue grew only 2.49% YoY, and sequential revenue has declined for two consecutive quarters, from $7.386 billion in Q4 2025 to $6.587 billion in Q1 2026. While net margin expanded to 14.12% in Q1 2026, gross margin of 22.83% remains thin and slightly below the 23.73% in Q4 2025, indicating limited pricing power. The company's debt-to-equity of 0.379 is manageable, but the $9.885 billion debt repayment in Q1 2026 reduced cash to $14.76 billion; further large repayments or acquisitions could strain liquidity. Additionally, free cash flow in Q1 2026 was only $164 million, a seasonal low, and trailing FCF of $2.292 billion represents a modest 3.7% FCF yield, limiting flexibility for buybacks or dividends without incremental debt.

Market and competitive risks include BKR's premium valuation and exposure to energy capex cycles. The forward PE of 18.99x is a 25-90% premium to SLB and Halliburton, which trade at 10x-15x forward earnings, leaving the stock vulnerable to multiple compression if growth disappoints. The beta of 0.961 indicates slightly lower volatility than the market, but the 24.24% max drawdown shows it is still cyclical. Competitive pressures from SLB and Halliburton in oilfield services, and from industrial giants like Siemens and GE in energy technology, could erode market share. Regulatory and geopolitical risks, such as a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure, could disrupt energy markets and delay projects, while inflation from high gas prices ($4.43 per gallon) might force the Fed to keep rates elevated, dampening industrial demand.

A worst-case scenario would involve a sharp global economic slowdown, a collapse in oil prices, and margin compression. If oil demand falls and energy capex is cut, BKR's revenue could decline, and its premium multiple could compress to peer levels. The 52-week low of $43.92 represents a 25.6% downside from the current $59.06, and the analyst low target of $51.00 implies 13.6% downside. In a severe downturn, the stock could retest the 52-week low, resulting in a loss of approximately 25.6% from current levels. If the dividend were cut or a major acquisition failed, the downside could be even greater, but the strong balance sheet provides some cushion.

Related headlines

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