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Powell Industries

POWL

$247.01

+5.45%

Powell Industries Inc designs and manufactures custom-engineered electrical equipment and systems for power distribution, control, and monitoring, serving heavy industrial markets like oil and gas, petrochemical, and electric utilities. As a niche player in the electrical equipment and parts industry, the company differentiates itself through highly engineered, arc-resistant switchgear and integrated power control room substations. The current investor narrative centers on the company's remarkable revenue and earnings growth trajectory, driven by strong demand from energy infrastructure and electrification projects, though recent stock price volatility suggests debate over valuation sustainability and order momentum.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 15, 2026

POWL

Powell Industries

$247.01

+5.45%
Jul 15, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Powell Industries Inc designs and manufactures custom-engineered electrical equipment and systems for power distribution, control, and monitoring, serving heavy industrial markets like oil and gas, petrochemical, and electric utilities. As a niche player in the electrical equipment and parts industry, the company differentiates itself through highly engineered, arc-resistant switchgear and integrated power control room substations. The current investor narrative centers on the company's remarkable revenue and earnings growth trajectory, driven by strong demand from energy infrastructure and electrification projects, though recent stock price volatility suggests debate over valuation sustainability and order momentum.

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POWL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $247.01
Average Target $247.01
High Target $284.06
Low Target $209.96

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Powell Industries's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $321.11 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$321.11

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$198 - $321

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Only 2 analysts cover POWL, indicating limited institutional coverage typical for a mid-cap industrial. The consensus recommendation is a Buy (1 Buy, 1 Neutral from Cantor Fitzgerald). The average target price is not explicitly provided, but using the estimated EPS of $9.37 and a forward P/E of 24.8x implies a target of ~$232, roughly in line with the current price. The implied upside/downside is near 0%, suggesting the stock is fairly valued near consensus estimates. The range of analyst EPS estimates is $8.77 to $10.32, implying a target range of roughly $217 to $256 based on a 24.8x multiple. The high target assumes continued strong demand and margin expansion, while the low target factors in potential revenue deceleration or margin compression. The wide spread (18% range) indicates uncertainty about the pace of future growth. Recent ratings actions show Cantor Fitzgerald maintained Neutral in February 2026, while Roth Capital reiterated Buy in November 2025. The limited coverage means the stock may be less efficiently priced, offering opportunities for active investors but also higher volatility.

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POWL Technical Analysis

POWL is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock up 227.2% over the past year, massively outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $232.19 sits at 70.8% of its 52-week range ($68.33 low to $328.00 high), indicating the stock remains in the upper half of its range but has pulled back from the highs. This positioning suggests the uptrend is intact but has cooled from peak momentum, potentially offering a pullback entry for trend followers. Short-term momentum has turned negative, with the 1-month price change of -11.5% contrasting sharply with the 3-month change of +0.5% and the 1-year gain of 227.2%. This divergence signals a significant short-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend, which could be a mean-reversion opportunity or the start of a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 1.135 indicates slightly higher volatility than the market, but the recent 1-month relative strength of -15.6% versus the S&P 500 confirms underperformance. The 52-week high of $328.00 represents key resistance, while the 52-week low of $68.33 is distant support. A break above $328 would signal resumption of the uptrend, while a fall below the recent low near $231 (July 8 close) could test the $200 area. The stock's beta of 1.135 suggests moderate volatility, meaning moves are amplified relative to the market but not extreme, which is important for risk management.

Beta

1.14

1.14x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-30.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$69-$328

Price range past year

Annual Return

+251.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPOWL ReturnS&P 500
1m-18.6%+0.0%
3m+6.1%+7.6%
6m+76.4%+9.1%
1y+251.0%+21.3%
ytd+110.2%+10.7%

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POWL Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains solid but has decelerated. In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY2026, ended Dec 2025), revenue was $251.2 million, up 4.0% year-over-year, compared to 8.1% YoY growth in the prior quarter (Q4 FY2025). The trailing twelve-month revenue run rate is approximately $1.1 billion. Growth is driven by oil and gas services ($97.9M segment) and electricity ($69.3M), while the petrochemical segment ($22.8M) is smaller. The deceleration from prior quarters (e.g., Q3 FY2025 revenue of $286.3M) suggests the pace of order growth may be normalizing, which is a key debate for the investment case. Profitability is strong and improving. Net income in Q1 FY2026 was $41.4 million, with a net margin of 16.5%, up from 14.4% in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin improved to 28.4% from 24.7% a year earlier, reflecting better pricing and mix. Operating margin of 17.0% is healthy for the electrical equipment industry. The company has been consistently profitable with EPS of $3.42 in Q1, and the trailing twelve-month net income is approximately $187 million. The balance sheet is fortress-like. Debt-to-equity is a mere 0.003 (essentially debt-free), and the current ratio is 2.09, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow was $41.6 million in Q1, and trailing twelve-month FCF is $161.5 million, giving a FCF yield of about 4.4% at the current market cap. ROE is an impressive 28.2%, reflecting high returns on equity. The company generates significant cash from operations ($43.6M in Q1) and has $490.6 million in cash, providing substantial financial flexibility for growth investments or shareholder returns.

Quarterly Revenue

$251184000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+4.0%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

28.4%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$161514000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Commercial and Other Industrial
Electricity
Light Rail Traction Power Customer
Oil and Gas Service
Other, Customers
Petrochemical

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Valuation Analysis: Is POWL Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 20.3x, while the forward P/E (based on estimated EPS of $9.37) is 24.8x. The gap between trailing and forward P/E implies the market expects earnings to grow, as the forward multiple is higher. The PEG ratio of 1.03 suggests the stock is fairly valued relative to its growth rate, assuming the growth persists. Compared to the electrical equipment industry, POWL trades at a premium. The industry average P/E is around 18x, so POWL's trailing P/E of 20.3x represents a 13% premium. This premium is justified by superior profitability (net margin of 16.5% vs. industry average ~8%) and strong growth. However, the forward P/E of 24.8x is higher, indicating the market is pricing in continued earnings expansion. Historically, POWL's P/E has ranged from 7x to 90x over the past five years. The current trailing P/E of 20.3x is near the middle of this range, suggesting it is not excessively overvalued relative to its own history. However, the stock has re-rated significantly from the single-digit P/Es seen in 2022-2023, reflecting the earnings growth story. The current valuation appears reasonable if growth continues, but any slowdown could lead to multiple compression.

PE

20.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -441x~90x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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