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FedEx Freight

FDXF

$154.25

+7.64%

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. is a North American less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation and freight services provider, offering Priority, Economy, and Direct shipping services. As a spin-off from FedEx Corporation, it operates a vast network of vehicles and service locations across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, positioning itself as a leading LTL carrier. The current investor narrative centers on the value-unlocking potential of the spin-off, with recent news highlighting a massive cash infusion and expectations for higher profitability and investor appeal. The stock is attracting attention as a pure-play LTL company with data-driven technology and a focus on operational efficiency.…

Bobby Quantitative Model
Jul 9, 2026

FDXF

FedEx Freight

$154.25

+7.64%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. is a North American less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation and freight services provider, offering Priority, Economy, and Direct shipping services. As a spin-off from FedEx Corporation, it operates a vast network of vehicles and service locations across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, positioning itself as a leading LTL carrier. The current investor narrative centers on the value-unlocking potential of the spin-off, with recent news highlighting a massive cash infusion and expectations for higher profitability and investor appeal. The stock is attracting attention as a pure-play LTL company with data-driven technology and a focus on operational efficiency.

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FDXF 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $154.25
Average Target $154.25
High Target $177.39
Low Target $131.11

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on FedEx Freight's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $200.53 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$200.53

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$123 - $201

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Only 1 analyst covers FDXF, with no consensus recommendation or average target price provided. The limited coverage implies the stock is newly listed and may have lower institutional interest, leading to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The estimated revenue average of $7.92 billion for the next fiscal year suggests modest growth expectations, but without a target price range, investors must rely on fundamental analysis and technical levels for decision-making.

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FDXF Technical Analysis

FDXF has been in a short-term downtrend since its listing on May 27, 2026, with the price declining from a high of $200.00 to a recent close of $150.81, a 24.6% drop from the 52-week high. The stock is currently trading at 75.4% of its 52-week range (($150.81 - $135.00) / ($200.00 - $135.00) = 0.243), near the lower end, suggesting bearish sentiment and potential value opportunity if fundamentals support a recovery. The 1-year price change is not available due to the recent listing, but the stock has already experienced a -20.57% maximum drawdown, indicating high volatility since inception.

Beta

—

—

Max Drawdown

-24.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$135-$200

Price range past year

Annual Return

—

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodFDXF ReturnS&P 500
1m-18.2%+2.0%
3m—+10.6%
6m—+8.3%
1y—+20.4%
ytd—+10.2%

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FDXF Fundamental Analysis

Revenue data is not available in the provided financials, but the company's market cap of $22.48 billion and PS ratio of 2.53 imply trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $8.89 billion. The net margin of 12.14% and gross margin of 31.14% indicate solid profitability for an LTL carrier, with operating margin at 15.07% suggesting efficient cost management. Net income is positive given the EPS of $0.048 and net margin, though the exact quarterly figures are missing; the ROE of 28.9% is strong, reflecting high returns on equity. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38 is conservative, and the current ratio of 1.76 indicates adequate liquidity, while the PCF ratio of 14.69 suggests reasonable cash flow generation relative to market cap.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is FDXF Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the trailing PE ratio of 20.83 is the primary valuation metric, with a forward PE of 30.10 indicating the market expects earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests optimism about future profitability, likely tied to the spin-off benefits. Compared to the integrated freight & logistics industry, FDXF's PE of 20.83x is below the industry average of 25.0x (estimated), representing a 16.7% discount, which may be justified by its recent listing and lack of historical track record. The PS ratio of 2.53 is also reasonable for the sector. Historical ratios are not available, but the current PE is below the typical range for high-growth logistics companies, potentially offering value if the company executes on its spin-off strategy.

PE

20.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

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